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Home Italy Serie A Lecce — Parma

Predictions Lecce vs Parma January 11, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Lecce
Lecce
Home · last 5 D W L W W
Kick-off
Sun 11 Jan · 11:30
1:2
Full-time
Parma
Parma
W L L L W Away · last 5
Referee Livio Marinelli, Italy
Home Win · LEC
39%
Best 2.75
Draw
29%
Best 2.93
Away Win · PAR
32%
Best 2.90
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 1.77
Fair odds
1.62
book 1.77 · +9.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 62% · EV +9.5%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 39.2%
Odds 2.76
Show model details
Implied probability 36.2%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 31.8%
Odds 3.06
Show model details
Implied probability 32.7%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 29%
Odds 3.06
Show model details
Implied probability 32.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 1.5
Probability 43.3%
Odds 2.66
Show model details
Implied probability 37.6%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 30.2%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 69.8%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality High
Under 0.5
Probability 15.5%
Odds 7.50
Show model details
Implied probability 13.3%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 56.7%
Odds 1.56
Show model details
Implied probability 64.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5 Best in group
Probability 86.6%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5
Probability 84.5%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 13.5%
Odds 5.60
Show model details
Implied probability 17.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 61.8%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality High
BTTS Yes
Probability 38.2%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 39.2%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0
Probability 31.8%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 68.2%
Odds 1.43
Show model details
Implied probability 69.9%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 60.8%
Odds 1.51
Show model details
Implied probability 66.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
LEC – PAR @ 1.77
+9.5%
Edge
Forecast →