Lecce vs Parma 1:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.77 — +9.5% better than the market.

Lecce and Parma face off in a tight Serie A clash where defensive solidity might dominate. Lecce's home edge is mild but noticeable, with a compact block likely to challenge Parma's slightly sharper attack. Parma's recent form shows a bit more consistency, hinting at a balanced contest with limited goal-scoring chances. Expect a cautious tempo with both sides wary of conceding early.

Lecce's home defense vs Parma's attack
Parma's better recent form
Low-scoring, tactical battle likely

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.77 ✗ Lost

AI 62% Implied 57% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

LEC 4-2-3-1 · PAR 4-3-3

LEC · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · PAR

9 Štulić ⚽

Subs used · LEC

54'

Ndri ↑ ·

Pierotti ↓

65'

Gallo ↑ ·

Stulic ↓

77'

Sottil ↑ ·

Ndaba ↓

78'

Gandelman ↑ ·

Maleh ↓

78'

Coulibaly ↑ ·

Ramadani ↓

Subs used · PAR

63'

Estevez ↑ ·

Keita ↓

80'

Benedyczak ↑ ·

Ondrejka ↓

80'

Ordonez ↑ ·

Bernabe ↓

84'

Britschgi ↑ ·

Oristanio ↓

Statistics

LEC 1 – 2 PAR

41%

Possession (%)

59%

0.88

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.12

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

75%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

18 · 1 – 2

N. Stulic

Assist · L. Banda · 1–0

⚽

Santiago Pierotti

Yellow Card

▮

23'

Half-time · 1 – 0

K. Ndri ↓ · S. Pierotti ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

54'

Ylber Ramadani

Yellow Card

▮

55'

Lameck Banda

Red Card

▮

57'

Mohamed Kaba

Yellow Card

▮

62'

63'

⇄

N. Estevez ↓ · M. Keita ↑

Substitution 1

64'

⚽

Tiago Gabriel

Own goal · 1–1

A. Gallo ↓ · N. Stulic ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

65'

69'

▮

Enrico Del Prato

Yellow Card

72'

⚽

M. Pellegrino

Assist · A. Bernabe · 1–2

R. Sottil ↓ · C. Ndaba ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

77'

O. Gandelman ↓ · Y. Maleh ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

78'

L. Coulibaly ↓ · Y. Ramadani ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

78'

80'

⇄

A. Benedyczak ↓ · J. Ondrejka ↑

Substitution 2

80'

⇄

C. Ordonez ↓ · A. Bernabe ↑

Substitution 3

84'

⇄

S. Britschgi ↓ · G. Oristanio ↑

Substitution 4

Kialonda Gaspar

Red Card

▮

90+2'

Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

Parma won 2–1 away at Lecce. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 59% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 84% of their passes. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: N. Stulic (1'), Tiago Gabriel (64'), M. Pellegrino (72'). Lameck Banda was sent off in the 57' minute. Kialonda Gaspar was sent off in the 90+2' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.64 units (Brier 0.243).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.77	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	2.66	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.76	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.14	—	38%	Cashed	+1.14	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.70	—	30%	Cashed	+1.70	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.88	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.08	—	32%	Cashed	+1.08	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.55	—	70%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.43	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.51	—	61%	Cashed	+0.51	Cashed
Under 0.5	7.50	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.06	—	32%	Cashed	+2.06	Cashed
Draw	3.06	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.56	—	57%	Cashed	+0.56	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.19	—	87%	Cashed	+0.19	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.12	—	84%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Over 3.5	5.60	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.64u	−10% ROI

Lecce vs Parma 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled