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Home Italy Serie A Fiorentina — AC Milan

Predictions Fiorentina vs AC Milan January 11, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Home · last 5 D L D W D
Kick-off
Sun 11 Jan · 14:00
1:1
Full-time
AC Milan
AC Milan
D L L W L Away · last 5
Referee Davide Massa, Italy
Home Win · FIO
20%
Best 3.50
Draw
26%
Best 3.35
Away Win · MIL
55%
Best 2.17
Value pick
Over 2.5
@ 2.07
Fair odds
1.93
book 2.07 · +7.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 52% · EV +7.1%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 54.7%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 25.8%
Odds 3.58
Show model details
Implied probability 27.9%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 19.5%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 51.8%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 48.2%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 75.5%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.5%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 24.5%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 7.5%
Odds 10.50
Show model details
Implied probability 9.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 54.3%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 45.7%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0
Probability 19.5%
Odds 2.71
Show model details
Implied probability 36.9%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 54.7%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 45.3%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 80.5%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
FIO – MIL @ 2.07
+7.1%
Edge
Forecast →