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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Genoa — Cagliari

Match Genoa vs Cagliari January 12, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A
Genoa
Genoa
Home · last 5 L D D L L
Kick-off
Mon 12 Jan · 17:30
3:0
Full-time
Cagliari
Cagliari
W D L W W Away · last 5
Stadio Luigi Ferraris · Genoa Referee Federico La Penna, Italy
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 62% · book 1.78
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 57% · book 1.72
Miss
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 37% · book 2.65
Total goals
3
3 · 0
xG (open play)
1.02 – 1.26
Δ −0.24
Possession
44% – 56%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Genoa hosts Cagliari in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a slight quality edge and better recent form. Genoa’s defensive solidity faces a modest attacking threat from Cagliari, suggesting a tactical battle with few clear-cut chances. The home side’s recent struggles dampen their momentum, while Cagliari’s more balanced form and pressing could tilt the game subtly in their favor.

  • Genoa’s defensive discipline vs Cagliari’s measured attack
  • Recent form favors visitors, indicating resilience
  • Odds and low goal expectations hint at a cautious tempo

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

GEN 3-5-2 · CAG 4-3-3
Subs used · GEN
46' Masini ↑ · Norton-Cuffy
74' Thorsby ↑ · Malinovskyi
74' Ekhator ↑ · Colombo
81' Messias ↑ · Vitinha
81' Sabelli ↑ · E. Ellertsson
Subs used · CAG
46' Idrissi ↑ · Rodriguez
62' Gaetano ↑ · Luvumbo
69' Zappa ↑ · Mazzitelli
69' Borrelli ↑ · Esposito

📊 Statistics

GEN 30 CAG
44%
Possession (%)
56%
1.02
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.26
11
Total Shots
15
7
Shots on Target
3
2
Shots off Target
6
5
Shots Inside Box
7
2
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
1
17
Fouls
20
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
2
Yellow Cards
5
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

19 · 3 – 0
L. Colombo
Assist · R. Malinovskyi · 1–0
7'
15'
Juan Rodríguez
Yellow Card
Morten Frendrup
Yellow Card
30'
42'
Adam Obert
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 0
P. Masini ↓ · B. Norton-Cuffy ↑
Substitution 1
46'
46'
R. Idrissi ↓ · J. Rodriguez ↑
Substitution 1
Patrizio Masini
Yellow Card
52'
54'
Luca Mazzitelli
Yellow Card
58'
Michel Adopo
Yellow Card
62'
G. Gaetano ↓ · Z. Luvumbo ↑
Substitution 2
69'
G. Zappa ↓ · L. Mazzitelli ↑
Substitution 3
69'
G. Borrelli ↓ · S. Esposito ↑
Substitution 4
71'
Sebastiano Luperto
Yellow Card
M. Thorsby ↓ · R. Malinovskyi ↑
Substitution 2
74'
J. Ekhator ↓ · L. Colombo ↑
Substitution 3
74'
M. Frendrup
2–0
75'
L. Ostigard
Assist · A. Martin · 3–0
78'
Junior Messias ↓ · Vitinha ↑
Substitution 4
81'
S. Sabelli ↓ · M. E. Ellertsson ↑
Substitution 5
81'
Full-time · 3 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.78 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.72 57% Cashed +0.72 Cashed
Under 1.5 2.65 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.70 36% Cashed +1.70 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.20 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.21 39% Cashed +1.21 Cashed
Away Win 4.43 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.58 63% Cashed +0.58 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.53 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.01 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.10 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.27 68% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.13 87% Cashed +0.13 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.19 83% Cashed +0.19 Cashed
Over 3.5 5.50 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 7.00 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.46 39% Cashed +0.46 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.74u −22% ROI