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Home › Italy › Serie A › Lecce — AS Roma

Lecce vs AS Roma 0:2: Match Review & Stats

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Lecce
Lecce
Home · last 5 D W L W W
Kick-off
Tue 06 Jan · 17:00
0:2
Full-time
AS Roma
AS Roma
W W W W W Away · last 5
Referee Juan Luca Sacchi, Italy
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 61% · book 1.81 ✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 64% · book 1.64 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 59% · book 1.72 ✓
Total goals
2
0 · 2
xG (open play)
0.53 – 1.88
Δ −1.35
Possession
51% – 49%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 1.81 — +11.0% better than the market.

AS Roma arrives with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand in this Serie A clash. Lecce’s defensive solidity at home could limit Roma’s attacking threat, but Roma’s sharper offense and consistent momentum hint at control in midfield and chances created.

  • Lecce’s compact defense vs Roma’s dynamic attack
  • Roma’s recent winning streak adds confidence
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 1.81 ✓ Cashed
AI 61% Implied 55% +0.81u
+81%
ROI on stake

Lineups

LEC 4-3-3 · ROM 3-4-1-2
LEC · 4-3-3 3-4-1-2 · ROM 30 Falcone 17 Veiga 4 Gaspar 44 Gabriel 25 Gallo 77 Kaba 20 Ramadani 93 Maleh 19 Banda 22 Camarda 23 Sottil 99 Svilar 87 Ghilardi 24 Ziółkowski 19 Çelik 43 Wesley 61 Pisilli 17 Koné 92 Shaarawy 4 Cristante 21 Dybala 11 Ferguson ⚽
Subs used · LEC
46' Ndri ↑ · Banda ↓
56' Pierotti ↑ · Sottil ↓
64' Stulic ↑ · Camarda ↓
64' Gorter ↑ · Ramadani ↓
75' J. Helgason ↑ · Kaba ↓
Subs used · ROM
60' Dovbyk ↑ · Ferguson ↓
60' Tsimikas ↑ · El Shaarawy ↓
79' Soule ↑ · Dybala ↓
86' Romano ↑

Statistics

LEC 0 – 2 ROM
51%
Possession (%)
49%
0.53
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.88
6
Total Shots
10
1
Shots on Target
3
1
Shots off Target
5
2
Shots Inside Box
6
2
Corner Kicks
2
2
Offsides
2
10
Fouls
20
76%
Pass Accuracy (%)
75%
3
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

15 · 0 – 2
Lameck Banda
Yellow Card
▮
5'
14'
⚽
E. Ferguson
0–1
Youssef Maleh
Yellow Card
▮
28'
Half-time · 0 – 1
K. Ndri ↓ · L. Banda ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
S. Pierotti ↓ · R. Sottil ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
56'
60'
⇄
A. Dovbyk ↓ · E. Ferguson ↑
Substitution 1
60'
⇄
K. Tsimikas ↓ · S. El Shaarawy ↑
Substitution 2
N. Stulic ↓ · F. Camarda ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
64'
O. Gorter ↓ · Y. Ramadani ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
64'
71'
⚽
A. Dovbyk
Assist · N. Pisilli · 0–2
T. J. Helgason ↓ · M. Kaba ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
75'
79'
⇄
M. Soule ↓ · P. Dybala ↑
Substitution 3
Kialonda Gaspar
Yellow Card
▮
86'
86'
▮
Bryan Cristante
Yellow Card
86'
⇄
A. Romano ↓ ·
Substitution 4
Full-time · 0 – 2

Match recap

AS Roma won 2–0 away at Lecce. At half-time it was 0–1.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.88 to 0.53. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 10 shots to 6, 3 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: E. Ferguson (14'), A. Dovbyk (71').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.56 units (Brier 0.090).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.81 — 61% Cashed +0.81 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.64 — 64% Cashed +0.64 Cashed
BTTS No 1.72 — 59% Cashed +0.72 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.27 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.46 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 2.11 — 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 2.85 — 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.19 — 87% Cashed +0.19 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.47 — 63% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.29 — 61% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.00 — 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.22 — 82% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.10 — 87% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Draw 3.55 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.60 — 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 5.60 — 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 3.84 — 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −5.56u −33% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
LEC – ROM @ 1.81
+11.0%
Edge
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