Match Sunderland vs Leeds December 28, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.94 — +7.7% better than the market.

Leeds arrive with a clear quality edge and stronger offensive numbers, suggesting they can break down Sunderland's compact defense. Sunderland's home momentum and solid defensive shape could limit chances, making this a tactical battle. Recent form favors Sunderland slightly, hinting at a tight contest with few goals expected.

Leeds' attacking threat vs Sunderland's disciplined defense
Home side's recent steady form and resilience
Odds suggest a moderate-paced game with limited scoring

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.94 ✗ Lost

AI 56% Implied 52% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SUN 4-2-3-1 · LEE 3-5-2

SUN · 4-2-3-1 3-5-2 · LEE

9 Brobbey

Subs used · SUN

68'

Mayenda ↑ ·

Rigg ↓

68'

Isidor ↑ ·

Brobbey ↓

85'

Mundle ↑ ·

Adingra ↓

Subs used · LEE

31'

Tanaka ↑ ·

Rodon ↓

73'

Nmecha ↑ ·

Okafor ↓

85'

Gnonto ↑ ·

Calvert-Lewin ↓

📊 Statistics

SUN 1 – 1 LEE

43%

Possession (%)

57%

0.70

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.17

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

9 · 1 – 1

S. Adingra

Assist · G. Xhaka · 1–0

⚽

28'

31'

⇄

A. Tanaka ↓ · J. Rodon ↑

Substitution 1

Half-time · 1 – 0

47'

⚽

D. Calvert-Lewin

Assist · B. Aaronson · 1–1

Trai Hume

Yellow Card

▮

61'

E. Mayenda ↓ · C. Rigg ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

68'

W. Isidor ↓ · B. Brobbey ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

68'

73'

⇄

L. Nmecha ↓ · N. Okafor ↑

Substitution 2

R. Mundle ↓ · S. Adingra ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

85'

⇄

W. Gnonto ↓ · D. Calvert-Lewin ↑

Substitution 3

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Sunderland and Leeds drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 57% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.17 to 0.70. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 8, 6 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 3. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves.

On the scoresheet: S. Adingra (28'), D. Calvert-Lewin (47').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.16 units (Brier 0.152).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.94	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.73	—	62%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.05	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.29	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.95	—	44%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
Home Win	2.68	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.90	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.96	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.17	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.53	—	70%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.30	—	81%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.42	—	65%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.47	—	57%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.00	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.09	—	88%	Cashed	+0.09	Cashed
Draw	3.35	—	28%	Cashed	+2.35	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.25	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.16u	−19% ROI