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Home › Italy › Serie A › Cremonese — Cagliari

Predictions by Market: Cremonese vs Cagliari

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Cremonese
Cremonese
Home · last 5 L L W W L
Kick-off
Thu 08 Jan · 17:30
2:2
Full-time
Cagliari
Cagliari
W D L W W Away · last 5
Stadio Giovanni Zini · Cremona Referee Kevin Bonacina, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · CRE
39%
Best 2.50
Draw
28%
Best 2.92
Away Win · CAG
33%
Best 3.28
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.00
Fair odds
2.73
book 3.00 · +10.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 37% · EV +10.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (63%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 38.8%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 33.2%
Odds 3.29
Show model details
Implied probability 30.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 28%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 63.2%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 36.8%
Odds 2.37
Show model details
Implied probability 42.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 36.7%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 63.4%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 12.1%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 81.8%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 87.9%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 56.7%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 43.3%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 33.2%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 38.8%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 61.2%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 66.8%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
CRE – CAG @ 3.00
+10.0%
Edge
Forecast →