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Home Italy Serie A Bologna — Atalanta

Match Bologna vs Atalanta January 7, 2026 — Result and Stats

Italy   /   Serie A
Bologna
Bologna
Home · last 5 L D W W D
Kick-off
Wed 07 Jan · 17:30
0:2
Full-time
Atalanta
Atalanta
L D W L D Away · last 5
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara · Bologna Referee Marco Di Bello, Italy
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 52% · book 1.94
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 48% · book 2.10
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 48% · book 2.03
Total goals
2
0 · 2
xG (open play)
1.05 – 1.32
Δ −0.27
Possession
53% – 47%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Bologna holds a clear quality edge and home momentum against Atalanta, who struggle defensively despite a strong recent run. Bologna’s attacking edge versus Atalanta’s defense suggests chances for goals, while their home form supports a pressing advantage. Expect a moderately paced game with tactical battles around midfield and set-piece opportunities shaping the contest.

  • Bologna’s home strength and attacking potential
  • Atalanta’s defensive vulnerabilities
  • Recent form favors Bologna’s consistency

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

BOL 4-2-3-1 · ATA 3-4-2-1
Subs used · BOL
46' Rowe ↑ · Orsolini
60' Immobile ↑ · Dallinga
72' Moro ↑ · Freuler
72' Castro ↑ · Fabbian
80' Dominguez ↑ · Cambiaghi
Subs used · ATA
68' Hien ↑ · Scalvini
68' Musah ↑ · Zalewski
77' Samardzic ↑ · Krstovic
77' Brescianini ↑ · Ederson
84' Sulemana ↑ · De Ketelaere

📊 Statistics

BOL 02 ATA
53%
Possession (%)
47%
1.05
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.32
11
Total Shots
11
2
Shots on Target
5
5
Shots off Target
4
9
Shots Inside Box
7
6
Corner Kicks
6
1
Offsides
5
16
Fouls
15
77%
Pass Accuracy (%)
75%
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

12 · 0 – 2
37'
N. Krstovic
Assist · C. De Ketelaere · 0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
J. Rowe ↓ · R. Orsolini ↑
Substitution 1
46'
C. Immobile ↓ · T. Dallinga ↑
Substitution 2
60'
60'
N. Krstovic
Assist · M. De Roon · 0–2
68'
I. Hien ↓ · G. Scalvini ↑
Substitution 1
68'
Y. Musah ↓ · N. Zalewski ↑
Substitution 2
N. Moro ↓ · R. Freuler ↑
Substitution 3
72'
S. Castro ↓ · G. Fabbian ↑
Substitution 4
72'
77'
L. Samardzic ↓ · N. Krstovic ↑
Substitution 3
77'
M. Brescianini ↓ · Ederson ↑
Substitution 4
B. Dominguez ↓ · N. Cambiaghi ↑
Substitution 5
80'
84'
K. Sulemana ↓ · C. De Ketelaere ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 0 – 2

Match recap

Atalanta won 2–0 away at Bologna. At half-time it was 0–1.

On the scoresheet: N. Krstovic (37'), N. Krstovic (60').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.12 units (Brier 0.202).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.94 52% Cashed +0.94 Cashed
BTTS No 2.10 48% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.03 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.78 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.01 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.70 30% Cashed +1.70 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.93 30% Cashed +0.93 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.54 70% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.95 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.48 57% Cashed +0.48 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.75 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.07 92% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.33 73% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.33 73% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.55 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.42 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 11.00 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.12u −18% ROI