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Home › Italy › Serie A › Bologna — Atalanta

Bologna vs Atalanta 0:2: Match Review & Stats

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Bologna
Bologna
Home · last 5 L D W W D
Kick-off
Wed 07 Jan · 17:30
0:2
Full-time
Atalanta
Atalanta
L D W L D Away · last 5
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara · Bologna Referee Marco Di Bello, Italy
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 52% · book 1.94 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 48% · book 2.10 ✓
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 48% · book 2.03 ✗
Total goals
2
0 · 2
xG (open play)
1.05 – 1.32
Δ −0.27
Possession
53% – 47%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.54 — +8.2% better than the market.

Bologna holds a clear quality edge and home momentum against Atalanta, who struggle defensively despite a strong recent run. Bologna’s attacking edge versus Atalanta’s defense suggests chances for goals, while their home form supports a pressing advantage. Expect a moderately paced game with tactical battles around midfield and set-piece opportunities shaping the contest.

  • Bologna’s home strength and attacking potential
  • Atalanta’s defensive vulnerabilities
  • Recent form favors Bologna’s consistency

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X @ 1.54 ✗ Lost
AI 70% Implied 65% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

BOL 4-2-3-1 · ATA 3-4-2-1
BOL · 4-2-3-1 3-4-2-1 · ATA 13 Ravaglia 20 Zortea 41 Vitík 14 Heggem 33 Miranda 8 Freuler 19 Ferguson 7 Orsolini 80 Fabbian 28 Cambiaghi 24 Dallinga 29 Carnesecchi 42 Scalvini 19 Djimsiti 69 Ahanor 77 Zappacosta 15 Roon 13 Éderson 47 Bernasconi 17 Ketelaere 59 Zalewski 90 Krstović ⚽
Subs used · BOL
46' Rowe ↑ · Orsolini ↓
60' Immobile ↑ · Dallinga ↓
72' Moro ↑ · Freuler ↓
72' Castro ↑ · Fabbian ↓
80' Dominguez ↑ · Cambiaghi ↓
Subs used · ATA
68' Hien ↑ · Scalvini ↓
68' Musah ↑ · Zalewski ↓
77' Samardzic ↑ · Krstovic ↓
77' Brescianini ↑ · Ederson ↓
84' Sulemana ↑ · De Ketelaere ↓

Statistics

BOL 0 – 2 ATA
53%
Possession (%)
47%
1.05
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.32
11
Total Shots
11
2
Shots on Target
5
5
Shots off Target
4
9
Shots Inside Box
7
6
Corner Kicks
6
1
Offsides
5
16
Fouls
15
77%
Pass Accuracy (%)
75%
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

12 · 0 – 2
37'
⚽
N. Krstovic
Assist · C. De Ketelaere · 0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
J. Rowe ↓ · R. Orsolini ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
C. Immobile ↓ · T. Dallinga ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
60'
60'
⚽
N. Krstovic
Assist · M. De Roon · 0–2
68'
⇄
I. Hien ↓ · G. Scalvini ↑
Substitution 1
68'
⇄
Y. Musah ↓ · N. Zalewski ↑
Substitution 2
N. Moro ↓ · R. Freuler ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
72'
S. Castro ↓ · G. Fabbian ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
72'
77'
⇄
L. Samardzic ↓ · N. Krstovic ↑
Substitution 3
77'
⇄
M. Brescianini ↓ · Ederson ↑
Substitution 4
B. Dominguez ↓ · N. Cambiaghi ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
80'
84'
⇄
K. Sulemana ↓ · C. De Ketelaere ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 0 – 2

Match recap

Atalanta won 2–0 away at Bologna. At half-time it was 0–1.

On the scoresheet: N. Krstovic (37'), N. Krstovic (60').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.12 units (Brier 0.202).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.94 — 52% Cashed +0.94 Cashed
BTTS No 2.10 — 48% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.03 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.78 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.01 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.70 — 30% Cashed +1.70 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.93 — 30% Cashed +0.93 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.54 — 70% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.95 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.48 — 57% Cashed +0.48 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.75 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.07 — 92% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.33 — 73% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.33 — 73% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.55 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.42 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 11.00 — 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.12u −18% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
BOL – ATA @ 1.54
+8.2%
Edge
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