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USA vs Chile 4:2: Match Review & Stats

World   /   Friendlies Value pick inside
USA
USA
Home · last 5 L W L W W
Kick-off
Wed 30 Sep · 00:00
4:2
Full-time
Chile
Chile
L W L L Away · last 5
Referee Jorge Abraham Camacho Peregrina, Mexico
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 55% · book 2.16 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 60% · book 1.87 ✗
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 31% · book 2.80 ✗
Total goals
6
4 · 2
Possession
58% – 42%
AI accuracy
6 / 13
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.87 — +12.9% better than the market.

USA holds a clear quality edge with a stronger squad and home momentum despite mixed recent form. Their offensive edge against Chile’s defense suggests controlled attacking chances, while Chile’s limited data hints at a cautious approach. The match is likely to be moderately paced, favoring a compact US defense and measured build-up play.

  • Home side’s pressing and set-piece threat stand out.
  • Chile may focus on defensive solidity and counterattacks.
  • Under 2.5 goals looks probable given balanced attacking output.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 1.87 ✗ Lost
AI 60% Implied 53% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

USA 4 – 2 CHI
58%
Possession (%)
42%
18
Total Shots
17
9
Shots on Target
8
2
Shots off Target
7
13
Shots Inside Box
8
5
Corner Kicks
13
1
Offsides
3
12
Fouls
10
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
79%
1
Yellow Cards
2
6
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match recap

USA beat Chile 4–2 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 13 to 5. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 13 graded markets, 6 landed and 7 missed, for a net -2.57 units (Brier 0.231).

Bet recap · markets settled

13 · 6 W · 7 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.16 — 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.87 — 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.80 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.79 — 45% Cashed +0.79 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.90 — 40% Cashed +0.90 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.40 — 77% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.52 — 69% Cashed +0.52 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.33 — 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.12 — 90% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.88 — 23% Cashed +1.88 Cashed
Draw 4.53 — 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.22 — 68% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Away Win 7.11 — 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 13 markets @ 1u each — — — 6 W · 7 L −2.57u −20% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
USA – CHI @ 1.87
+12.9%
Edge
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