P
Prognosist
P
Home › World › Friendlies › USA — Mexico

Prediction: USA vs Mexico, October 4

World   /   Friendlies
USA
USA
Home · last 5 L W L W W
Kick-off
Sun 04 Oct · 02:00
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
Mexico
Mexico
W W W D D Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · USA
—%
Best —
Draw
—%
Best —
Away Win · MEX
—%
Best —
AI preview · 90 sec read

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
USA
W/D/L 3-0-2
Goals (for / against) 13 / 10
Avg goals / match 4.6
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 3-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-0-1
xG (for / against) 0.80 / 1.20
Mexico
W/D/L 2-2-1
Goals (for / against) 9 / 5
Avg goals / match 2.8
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-2-1
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-0
xG (for / against) 1.56 / 0.92

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
2.33
Goals Scored
1.70
2.33
Goals Conceded
0.40
0.45
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63
3.17
Shots on Target
0.50
3.33
Corners
0.50
30
Possession (%)
12
99.91
Efficiency index
107.95
96.74
Adjusted index
142.73
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
71
OFF · home
49
9
DEF · home
73
—
OFF · away
34
—
DEF · away
100
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

Scenario insights

①
USA wins when scoring first
75%
①
Mexico wins when scoring first
100%
⚽
USA BTTS rate · last 10
70%
⚽
Mexico BTTS rate · last 10
40%
↑
USA Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
↑
Mexico Over 2.5 · last 10
30%
↩
USA comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Mexico comeback rate · last 10
0%

Goal timing

USA · last 4 at home

0–15 0%
16–30 0%
31–45 71%
46–60 0%
61–75 0%
76–90 29%

Mexico · last 1 away

0–15 0%
16–30 0%
31–45 0%
46–60 33%
61–75 33%
76–90 33%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.

Top scorers

S. Berhalter
USA · Midfielder
2 G · 0.63 g/90
J. Hall
USA · Attacker
2 G · 1.82 g/90
B. Gutiérrez
MEX · Midfielder
2 G · 0.43 g/90
J. Vásquez
MEX · Defender
2 G · 0.43 g/90