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Home › Italy › Serie A › Juventus — Lecce

Predictions by Market: Juventus vs Lecce

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Juventus
Juventus
Home · last 5 D D W L D
Kick-off
Sat 03 Jan · 17:00
1:1
Full-time
Lecce
Lecce
D W L W W Away · last 5
Referee Giuseppe Collu, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · JUV
77%
Best 1.26
Draw
18%
Best 5.63
Away Win · LEC
5%
Best 13.00
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.00
Fair odds
3.55
book 4.00 · +12.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 28% · EV +12.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (72%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 77.1%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 17.6%
Odds 5.80
Show model details
Implied probability 17.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 5.3%
Odds 13.80
Show model details
Implied probability 7.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 53.1%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 46.9%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 28.1%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 74.3%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 25.7%
Odds 3.15
Show model details
Implied probability 31.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 8.4%
Odds 13.30
Show model details
Implied probability 7.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.6%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 71.9%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 37.3%
Odds 2.61
Show model details
Implied probability 38.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 62.7%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 77.1%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 5.3%
Odds 7.40
Show model details
Implied probability 13.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 94.7%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 22.9%
Odds 4.04
Show model details
Implied probability 24.8%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
JUV – LEC @ 4.00
+12.5%
Edge
Forecast →