Juventus vs Lecce 1:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 4.00 — +12.5% better than the market.

Juventus carry strong home momentum with a solid attacking edge against Lecce's defense, who have struggled to contain opponents. Their recent form shows consistent wins, contrasting Lecce's uneven results, suggesting a tactical upper hand for the hosts. Expect Juventus to control the pace, leveraging their compact block and set-piece threat to press Lecce's fragile backline.

Home side's offensive firepower vs away defensive frailties
Juventus' recent winning streak vs Lecce's patchy form
Likely controlled tempo favoring Juventus' structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 4.00 ✗ Lost

AI 28% Implied 25% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

JUV 4-2-3-1 · LEC 4-3-3

JUV · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · LEC

30 David

Subs used · JUV

46'

Zhegrova ↑ ·

Conceicao ↓

69'

Koopmeiners ↑ ·

Thuram ↓

69'

Kostic ↑ ·

Cambiaso ↓

77'

Openda ↑ ·

Locatelli ↓

83'

Adzic ↑ ·

McKennie ↓

Subs used · LEC

32'

Veiga ↑ ·

Perez ↓

68'

Ndaba ↑ ·

Pierotti ↓

68'

Stulic ↑ ·

Camarda ↓

81'

J. Helgason ↑ ·

Banda ↓

Statistics

JUV 1 – 1 LEC

72%

Possession (%)

28%

2.69

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.26

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

89%

Pass Accuracy (%)

76%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

14 · 1 – 1

32'

⇄

D. Veiga ↓ · M. Perez ↑

Substitution 1

45'

⚽

L. Banda

0–1

Half-time · 0 – 1

E. Zhegrova ↓ · F. Conceicao ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

W. McKennie

1–1

⚽

49'

61'

▮

Youssef Maleh

Yellow Card

68'

⇄

C. Ndaba ↓ · S. Pierotti ↑

Substitution 2

68'

⇄

N. Stulic ↓ · F. Camarda ↑

Substitution 3

T. Koopmeiners ↓ · K. Thuram ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

69'

F. Kostic ↓ · A. Cambiaso ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

69'

70'

▮

Danilo Veiga

Yellow Card

L. Openda ↓ · M. Locatelli ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

77'

81'

⇄

T. J. Helgason ↓ · L. Banda ↑

Substitution 4

V. Adzic ↓ · W. McKennie ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

83'

90+5'

▮

Wladimiro Falcone

Yellow Card

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Juventus and Lecce drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 72% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 89% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.69 to 0.26. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 25 shots to 6, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 10 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: L. Banda (45'), W. McKennie (49').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +2.31 units (Brier 0.235).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.08	—	53%	Cashed	+1.08	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.61	—	37%	Cashed	+1.61	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.87	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.00	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.40	—	74%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.06	—	95%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Home Win	1.30	—	77%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.57	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.15	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.04	—	77%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	13.30	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	5.80	—	18%	Cashed	+4.80	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.05	—	92%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Double Chance X2	4.04	—	23%	Cashed	+3.04	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.27	—	72%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Away Win	13.80	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	7.40	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+2.31u	+14% ROI

Juventus vs Lecce 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled