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Home Italy Serie A Sassuolo — Parma

Predictions Sassuolo vs Parma January 3, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Home · last 5 D W L L L
Kick-off
Sat 03 Jan · 14:00
1:1
Full-time
Parma
Parma
W L L L W Away · last 5
Referee Ermanno Feliciani, Italy
Home Win · SAS
58%
Best 1.98
Draw
26%
Best 3.30
Away Win · PAR
16%
Best 4.20
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 1.80
Fair odds
1.63
book 1.80 · +10.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 61% · EV +10.7%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 57.8%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 26.4%
Odds 3.46
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Implied probability 28.9%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 15.8%
Odds 4.67
Show model details
Implied probability 21.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 61.5%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 38.5%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 45.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 35.1%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 11.6%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 80.4%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.4%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 64.9%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 19.6%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 56.1%
Odds 1.92
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Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 43.9%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 57.8%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0
Probability 15.8%
Odds 3.32
Show model details
Implied probability 30.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 42.2%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 84.2%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
SAS – PAR @ 1.80
+10.7%
Edge
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