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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Parma — Fiorentina

Match Parma vs Fiorentina December 27, 2025

Italy   /   Serie A
Parma
Parma
Home · last 5 W L L L W
Kick-off
Sat 27 Dec · 11:30
1:0
Full-time
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
D L D W D Away · last 5
Stadio Ennio Tardini · Parma Referee Marco Guida, Italy
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 51% · book 2.38
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 55% · book 1.95
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 61% · book 1.73
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
0.95 – 1.23
Δ −0.28
Possession
42% – 58%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Fiorentina enter this clash with a clear quality edge and a more potent attack against Parma's leaky defense. Despite Parma's home momentum, their recent form is patchy, while Fiorentina show signs of steadiness. The tactical battle will likely see Fiorentina pressing high to exploit Parma's defensive vulnerabilities.

  • Fiorentina's offensive strength contrasts with Parma's defensive struggles.
  • Home side's inconsistent form may limit their threat.
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play over frantic transitions.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

PAR 4-3-3 · FIO 3-5-2
Subs used · PAR
67' Oristanio ↑ · Benedyczak
68' Estevez ↑ · Ondrejka
81' Ordonez ↑ · Bernabe
90+4' Cremaschi ↑ · Keita
90+4' Djuric ↑ · Pellegrino
Subs used · FIO
46' Fortini ↑ · Viti
63' Piccoli ↑ · Mandragora
76' Sohm ↑ · Ndour
76' Gosens ↑ · Parisi
86' Kouadio ↑ · Comuzzo

📊 Statistics

PAR 10 FIO
42%
Possession (%)
58%
0.95
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.23
13
Total Shots
23
2
Shots on Target
4
8
Shots off Target
12
9
Shots Inside Box
14
5
Corner Kicks
6
0
Offsides
3
10
Fouls
15
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
2
Yellow Cards
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

15 · 1 – 0
Alessandro Circati
Yellow Card
20'
22'
Rolando Mandragora
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
46'
N. Fortini ↓ · M. Viti ↑
Substitution 1
O. Sorensen
Assist · M. Pellegrino · 1–0
48'
63'
R. Piccoli ↓ · R. Mandragora ↑
Substitution 2
G. Oristanio ↓ · A. Benedyczak ↑
Substitution 1
67'
N. Estevez ↓ · J. Ondrejka ↑
Substitution 2
68'
76'
S. Sohm ↓ · C. Ndour ↑
Substitution 3
76'
R. Gosens ↓ · F. Parisi ↑
Substitution 4
C. Ordonez ↓ · A. Bernabe ↑
Substitution 3
81'
Edoardo Corvi
Yellow Card
86'
86'
E. Kouadio ↓ · P. Comuzzo ↑
Substitution 5
90+3'
Marin Pongračić
Yellow Card
B. Cremaschi ↓ · M. Keita ↑
Substitution 4
90+4'
M. Djuric ↓ · M. Pellegrino ↑
Substitution 5
90+4'
Full-time · 1 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.38 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.95 55% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.73 61% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.30 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.91 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.67 49% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.61 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.45 21% Cashed +1.45 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.10 35% Cashed +2.10 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.35 79% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.42 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.25 80% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.50 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.10 88% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Draw 3.25 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.20 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.55 21% Cashed +2.55 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −0.20u −1% ROI