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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Italy › Serie A › AS Roma — Genoa

Match AS Roma vs Genoa December 29, 2025

Italy   /   Serie A
AS Roma
AS Roma
Home · last 5 W W W W W
Kick-off
Mon 29 Dec · 19:45
3:1
Full-time
Genoa
Genoa
L D D L L Away · last 5
Referee Marco Di Bello, Italy
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 64% · book 1.69 ✓
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 43% · book 2.41 ✓
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 41% · book 2.43 ✓
Total goals
4
3 · 1
xG (open play)
1.32 – 0.93
Δ +0.39
Possession
61% – 39%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AS Roma holds a clear quality edge over Genoa, boosted by a solid home defensive record that could stifle Genoa's slightly sharper attack. Roma's recent form shows some inconsistency, but their home momentum and tactical discipline should help control the game tempo. Genoa's improving form hints at resilience, yet they face a tough task breaking down Roma's compact block.

  • Roma's defensive solidity at home
  • Genoa's rising form but limited firepower
  • Moderate pace expected with tactical caution

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

ROM 3-4-2-1 · GEN 3-5-2
ROM · 3-4-2-1 3-5-2 · GEN 99 Svilar 23 Mancini 24 Ziółkowski 22 Hermoso 19 Çelik 4 Cristante 17 Koné ⚽ 43 Wesley 18 Soulé ⚽ 21 Dybala 11 Ferguson ⚽ 39 Sommariva 5 Østigård 34 Otoa 22 Vásquez 15 Norton-Cuffy 17 Malinovskyi 32 Frendrup 77 Ellertsson 3 Martín 18 Ekuban 9 Vitinha
Subs used · ROM
57' El Shaarawy ↑ · Soule ↓
74' Pisilli ↑ · Cristante ↓
74' Ghilardi ↑ · Mancini ↓
85' Dovbyk ↑ · Ferguson ↓
86' Rensch ↑ · Franca ↓
Subs used · GEN
58' Marcandalli ↑ · Ostigard ↓
59' Colombo ↑ · Ekuban ↓
59' Fini ↑ · Malinovskyi ↓
72' Ekhator ↑ · Vitinha ↓
79' Masini ↑ · Frendrup ↓

📊 Statistics

ROM 3 – 1 GEN
61%
Possession (%)
39%
1.32
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.93
16
Total Shots
10
8
Shots on Target
2
3
Shots off Target
5
14
Shots Inside Box
8
6
Corner Kicks
1
1
Offsides
3
13
Fouls
13
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
76%
0
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5

⏱ Match events

15 · 3 – 1
M. Soule
1–0
⚽
14'
M. Kone
Assist · E. Ferguson · 2–0
⚽
19'
E. Ferguson
3–0
⚽
31'
Half-time · 3 – 0
50'
▮
Morten Frendrup
Yellow Card
S. El Shaarawy ↓ · M. Soule ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
57'
58'
⇄
A. Marcandalli ↓ · L. Ostigard ↑
Substitution 1
59'
⇄
L. Colombo ↓ · C. Ekuban ↑
Substitution 2
59'
⇄
S. Fini ↓ · R. Malinovskyi ↑
Substitution 3
72'
⇄
J. Ekhator ↓ · Vitinha ↑
Substitution 4
N. Pisilli ↓ · B. Cristante ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
74'
D. Ghilardi ↓ · G. Mancini ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
74'
79'
⇄
P. Masini ↓ · M. Frendrup ↑
Substitution 5
A. Dovbyk ↓ · E. Ferguson ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
85'
D. Rensch ↓ · Wesley Franca ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
86'
87'
⚽
J. Ekhator
3–1
Full-time · 3 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.69 — 64% Cashed +0.69 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.41 — 43% Cashed +1.41 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.43 — 41% Cashed +1.43 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.66 — 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 2.80 — 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.62 — 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.37 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.15 — 89% Cashed +0.15 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.48 — 67% Cashed +0.48 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.22 — 64% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.80 — 21% Cashed +3.80 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.10 — 89% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.22 — 79% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.78 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 8.00 — 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 6.50 — 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 4.71 — 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −0.72u −4% ROI