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Home › Italy › Serie A › Inter — Lecce

Predictions by Market: Inter vs Lecce

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Inter
Inter
Home · last 5 D W W D D
Kick-off
Wed 14 Jan · 19:45
1:0
Full-time
Lecce
Lecce
D W L W W Away · last 5
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza · Milan Referee Fabio Maresca, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · INT
84%
Best 1.18
Draw
13%
Best 7.40
Away Win · LEC
3%
Best 17.00
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.67
Fair odds
2.44
book 2.67 · +9.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 41% · EV +9.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (59%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 13%
Odds 9.03
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 83.7%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 3.3%
Odds 22.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 41.1%
Odds 2.67
Show model details
Implied probability 37.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 63.6%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 36.4%
Odds 2.43
Show model details
Implied probability 41.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 19.6%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 59%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5.7%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.3%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 80.4%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 36.8%
Odds 2.76
Show model details
Implied probability 36.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 63.2%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 96.7%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 16.3%
Odds 6.42
Show model details
Implied probability 15.6%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
INT – LEC @ 2.67
+9.6%
Edge
Forecast →