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Home Italy Serie A Inter — Lecce

Predictions Inter vs Lecce January 14, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Inter
Inter
Home · last 5 D W W D D
Kick-off
Wed 14 Jan · 19:45
1:0
Full-time
Lecce
Lecce
D W L W W Away · last 5
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza · Milano Referee Fabio Maresca, Italy
Home Win · INT
84%
Best 1.18
Draw
13%
Best 7.40
Away Win · LEC
3%
Best 17.00
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.67
Fair odds
2.44
book 2.67 · +9.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 41% · EV +9.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (59%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 13%
Odds 9.03
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 83.7%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 3.3%
Odds 22.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 41.1%
Odds 2.67
Show model details
Implied probability 37.5%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 63.6%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 36.4%
Odds 2.43
Show model details
Implied probability 41.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 19.6%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 59%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5.7%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.3%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 80.4%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 36.8%
Odds 2.76
Show model details
Implied probability 36.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 63.2%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 96.7%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 16.3%
Odds 6.42
Show model details
Implied probability 15.6%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
INT – LEC @ 2.67
+9.6%
Edge
Forecast →