Inter vs Lecce 1:0 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.67 — +9.6% better than the market.

Inter hosts Lecce at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza with clear home momentum, boasting a strong recent run and a significant quality edge. Their potent attack faces a Lecce defense that has struggled, suggesting Inter's pressing and set-piece threat could dominate. Lecce's away form and offensive output lag behind, hinting at a compact Inter block controlling the pace in a likely low-scoring affair.

Inter's home edge and offensive firepower
Lecce's defensive vulnerabilities
Expected controlled tempo favoring Inter

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.67 ✓ Cashed

AI 41% Implied 37% +1.67u

+167%

ROI on stake

Lineups

INT 3-5-2 · LEC 4-2-3-1

INT · 3-5-2 4-2-3-1 · LEC

9 Thuram

Subs used · INT

56'

Frattesi ↑ ·

Barella ↓

56'

Esposito ↑ ·

Bonny ↓

57'

Henrique ↑ ·

Diouf ↓

72'

Martinez ↑ ·

Mkhitaryan ↓

87'

Sucic ↑ ·

Thuram ↓

Subs used · LEC

69'

Morente ↑ ·

Sottil ↓

69'

Kaba ↑ ·

Gandelman ↓

82'

Ndri ↑ ·

Pierotti ↓

86'

Sala ↑ ·

Maleh ↓

Statistics

INT 1 – 0 LEC

68%

Possession (%)

32%

1.78

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.48

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

63%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

13 · 1 – 0

Marcus Thuram

Yellow Card

▮

17'

Half-time · 0 – 0

D. Frattesi ↓ · N. Barella ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

56'

F. Esposito ↓ · A. Bonny ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

56'

Luis Henrique ↓ · A. Diouf ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

57'

63'

▮

Danilo Veiga

Yellow Card

69'

⇄

Tete Morente ↓ · R. Sottil ↑

Substitution 1

69'

⇄

M. Kaba ↓ · O. Gandelman ↑

Substitution 2

L. Martinez ↓ · H. Mkhitaryan ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

72'

F. Esposito

1–0

⚽

78'

82'

⇄

K. Ndri ↓ · S. Pierotti ↑

Substitution 3

86'

⇄

A. Sala ↓ · Y. Maleh ↑

Substitution 4

P. Sucic ↓ · M. Thuram ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

87'

Luís Henrique

Yellow Card

▮

90+3'

Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Inter beat Lecce 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 68% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 85% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.78 to 0.48. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 10, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 11 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: F. Esposito (78').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -0.42 units (Brier 0.173).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.67	—	41%	Cashed	+1.67	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.65	—	64%	Cashed	+0.65	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.76	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.43	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	9.03	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	5.50	—	20%	Cashed	+4.50	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.03	—	97%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
BTTS No	1.55	—	63%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
Home Win	1.15	—	84%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.55	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	6.42	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	17.00	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	—	94%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.17	—	80%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	22.00	—	3%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	−0.42u	−3% ROI

Inter vs Lecce 1:0: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled