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Home Italy Serie A Napoli — Parma

Predictions Napoli vs Parma January 14, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Napoli
Napoli
Home · last 5 W D L W W
Kick-off
Wed 14 Jan · 17:30
0:0
Full-time
Parma
Parma
W L L L W Away · last 5
Referee Michael Fabbri, Italy
Home Win · NAP
75%
Best 1.33
Draw
19%
Best 5.10
Away Win · PAR
6%
Best 9.60
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 1.99
Fair odds
1.78
book 1.99 · +11.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 56% · EV +11.8%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 75.4%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 18.7%
Odds 5.36
Show model details
Implied probability 18.7%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 5.9%
Odds 12.50
Show model details
Implied probability 8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 56.2%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.3%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 43.8%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 30.5%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 77.3%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 9.8%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.2%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 22.8%
Odds 3.65
Show model details
Implied probability 27.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 39.3%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 60.7%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 75.4%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 5.9%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 94.1%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 24.6%
Odds 3.59
Show model details
Implied probability 27.9%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
NAP – PAR @ 1.99
+11.8%
Edge
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