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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Italy › Serie A › Napoli — Parma

Match Napoli vs Parma January 14, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Napoli
Napoli
Home · last 5 W D L W W
Kick-off
Wed 14 Jan · 17:30
0:0
Full-time
Parma
Parma
W L L L W Away · last 5
Referee Michael Fabbri, Italy
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 56% · book 1.99 ✓
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 39% · book 2.55 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 61% · book 1.60 ✓
Total goals
0
0 · 0
xG (open play)
1.38 – 0.18
Δ +1.20
Possession
69% – 31%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.99 — +11.8% better than the market.

Napoli enters this Serie A clash with a clear quality edge and home momentum, showing a solid attacking threat against Parma's less robust defense. The home side's pressing and compact block should limit Parma's chances, especially given the visitors' defensive vulnerabilities. Napoli's recent form suggests confidence, while Parma's inconsistent away results hint at a tough outing.

  • Home attacking pressure vs Parma's defense
  • Napoli's stable form and home advantage
  • Parma's defensive struggles and away inconsistency

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.99 ✓ Cashed
AI 56% Implied 50% +0.99u
+99%
ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

NAP 3-4-2-1 · PAR 3-5-2
NAP · 3-4-2-1 3-5-2 · PAR 32 Milinković-Savić 22 Lorenzo 13 Rrahmani 4 Buongiorno 30 Mazzocchi 68 Lobotka 8 McTominay 17 Olivera 21 Politano 70 Lang 19 Højlund 66 Rinaldi 39 Circati 37 Troilo 5 Valenti 27 Britschgi 16 Keita 8 Estévez 24 Ordoñez 22 Sørensen 17 Ondrejka 32 Cutrone
Subs used · NAP
58' Neres ↑ · Lang ↓
58' Elmas ↑ · Olivera ↓
58' Spinazzola ↑ · Mazzocchi ↓
79' Vergara ↑ · Politano ↓
90' Lucca ↑
Subs used · PAR
46' Valeri ↑ · Sorensen ↓
58' Pellegrino ↑ · Cutrone ↓
59' Bernabe ↑ · Ondrejka ↓
69' Del Prato ↑ · Troilo ↓
90' Benedyczak ↑ · Ordonez ↓

📊 Statistics

NAP 0 – 0 PAR
69%
Possession (%)
31%
1.38
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.18
16
Total Shots
4
4
Shots on Target
1
5
Shots off Target
0
13
Shots Inside Box
1
7
Corner Kicks
1
1
Offsides
0
11
Fouls
12
90%
Pass Accuracy (%)
75%
1
Yellow Cards
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4

⏱ Match events

14 · 0 – 0
Half-time · 0 – 0
46'
⇄
E. Valeri ↓ · O. Sorensen ↑
Substitution 1
57'
▮
Mariano Troilo
Yellow Card
David Neres ↓ · N. Lang ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
58'
E. Elmas ↓ · M. Olivera ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
58'
L. Spinazzola ↓ · P. Mazzocchi ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
58'
58'
⇄
M. Pellegrino ↓ · P. Cutrone ↑
Substitution 2
59'
⇄
A. Bernabe ↓ · J. Ondrejka ↑
Substitution 3
67'
▮
Sascha Britschgi
Yellow Card
69'
⇄
E. Del Prato ↓ · M. Troilo ↑
Substitution 4
A. Vergara ↓ · M. Politano ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
79'
81'
▮
Filippo Rinaldi
Yellow Card
David Neres
Yellow Card
▮
87'
L. Lucca ↓ ·
Substitution 5
⇄
90'
90'
⇄
A. Benedyczak ↓ · C. Ordonez ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 0 – 0

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.99 — 56% Cashed +0.99 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.55 — 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.60 — 61% Cashed +0.60 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.00 — 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.80 — 30% Cashed +2.80 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.37 — 77% Cashed +0.37 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.08 — 94% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Home Win 1.35 — 75% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.06 — 75% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 11.00 — 10% Cashed +10.00 Cashed
Draw 5.36 — 19% Cashed +4.36 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.06 — 90% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.30 — 70% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 3.59 — 25% Cashed +2.59 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.65 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 12.50 — 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 6.50 — 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +12.79u +75% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 2.5
NAP – PAR @ 1.99
+11.8%
Edge
Forecast →