Model verdict
Model leans toward both teams to score — 54% probability.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Türkiye and Italy face off in a UEFA Nations League clash with limited recent form data, making this a tactical chess match. The odds suggest a balanced contest with a slight lean towards a tight game under 2.5 goals, hinting at disciplined defensive setups. Both sides may rely on structured play and set-piece opportunities to break the deadlock.
- Balanced quality with no clear edge from available data
- Likely cautious approach given low scoring expectation
- Set pieces and compact defense could be decisive
Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 39% | Italy win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 53% | Under 2.5 |
| BTTS | 54% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 65% | X2 |
- 1X2 Italy win 39%
- Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53%
- BTTS Yes 54%
- Double Chance X2 65%
Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Türkiye
W/D/L
3-0-2
Goals (for / against)
6 / 6
Avg goals / match
2.4
Scored in
3/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
2/5
Over 2.5
2/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
2-0-1
xG (for / against)
1.72 / 0.55
Italy
W/D/L
3-1-1
Goals (for / against)
7 / 5
Avg goals / match
2.4
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
3/5
Both teams scored
2/5
Over 2.5
1/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Scenario insights
①
Türkiye wins when scoring first
—
①
Italy wins when scoring first
—
⚽
Türkiye BTTS rate · last 10
50%
⚽
Italy BTTS rate · last 10
40%
↑
Türkiye Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
↑
Italy Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
↩
Türkiye comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Italy comeback rate · last 10
—
Goal timing
Türkiye · last 2 at home
0–15
33%
16–30
0%
31–45
33%
46–60
0%
61–75
0%
76–90
33%
First-half-heavy — over half the goals before the break.