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Home World UEFA Nations League Belgium — France

Predictions by Market: Belgium vs France

World   /   UEFA Nations League Value pick inside
Belgium
Belgium
Home · last 5 D W W W L
Kick-off
Mon 28 Sep · 18:45
:
Pre-match · scheduled
France
France
W W W L L Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BEL
32%
Best 3.32
Draw
26%
Best 3.50
Away Win · FRA
42%
Best 2.12
Value pick
Home Win
@ 3.32
Fair odds
3.15
book 3.32 · +5.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
Low
p 32% · EV +5.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (42%), but Home Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 42.3%
Odds 2.12
Show model details
Implied probability 47.2%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 31.8%
Odds 3.32
Show model details
Implied probability 30.1%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 25.9%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 2 markets
Over 2.5 Best in group
Probability 55.3%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 44.7%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 59.8%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 40.2%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 57.7%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Best in group
Probability 68.2%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
BEL – FRA @ 3.32
+5.4%
Edge
Forecast →