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Home World UEFA Nations League Belgium — France

Prediction: Belgium vs France, September 28

World   /   UEFA Nations League Value pick inside
Belgium
Belgium
Home · last 5 D W W W L
Kick-off
Mon 28 Sep · 18:45
:
Pre-match · scheduled
France
France
W W W L L Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BEL
32%
Best 3.32
Draw
26%
Best 3.50
Away Win · FRA
42%
Best 2.12

Model verdict

Model leans toward both teams to score — 60% probability.

Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 55%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Belgium and France face off in a UEFA Nations League clash with limited recent form data, making this a tactical chess match. The odds suggest a moderately open game with a slight lean towards goals, hinting at a lively pace. Belgium’s home advantage could offer a pressing edge, while France’s traditionally solid defense may keep things tight.

  • Home momentum might be key despite unclear form.
  • France’s compact block could challenge Belgium’s attack.
  • Expect a balanced duel with goal-scoring chances for both.

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 42% France win
Over/Under 2.5 55% Over 2.5
BTTS 60% Yes
Double Chance 68% X2
  • 1X2 France win 42%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55%
  • BTTS Yes 60%
  • Double Chance X2 68%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Belgium
W/D/L 3-1-1
Goals (for / against) 13 / 6
Avg goals / match 3.8
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 2-0-1
xG (for / against) 1.94 / 1.43
France
W/D/L 3-0-2
Goals (for / against) 10 / 8
Avg goals / match 3.6
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 3/5
Both teams scored 1/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-2
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-0
xG (for / against) 2.15 / 1.03

Scenario insights

Belgium wins when scoring first
100%
France wins when scoring first
100%
Belgium BTTS rate · last 10
70%
France BTTS rate · last 10
50%
Belgium Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
France Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
Belgium comeback rate · last 10
33%
France comeback rate · last 10
0%

Goal timing

Belgium · last 3 at home

0–15 0%
16–30 0%
31–45 0%
46–60 0%
61–75 0%
76–90 100%

France · last 2 away

0–15 20%
16–30 20%
31–45 20%
46–60 0%
61–75 20%
76–90 20%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.