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Home World UEFA Nations League Germany — Greece

Predictions by Market: Germany vs Greece

World   /   UEFA Nations League Value pick inside
Germany
Germany
Home · last 5 W W W L D
Kick-off
Sun 27 Sep · 18:45
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Greece
Greece
L L W D L Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · GER
61%
Best 1.42
Draw
21%
Best 5.00
Away Win · GRE
18%
Best 8.50
Value pick
Draw
@ 5.00
Fair odds
4.88
book 5.00 · +2.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
Low
p 21% · EV +2.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (61%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win
Probability 18.1%
Odds 8.50
Show model details
Implied probability 11.8%
Bet quality Low
Home Win Best in group
Probability 61.4%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 20.5%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
Totals 4 markets
Under 3.5
Probability 59.3%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 40.7%
Odds 2.35
Show model details
Implied probability 42.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 37%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5 Best in group
Probability 63%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 53.3%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 46.8%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 38.6%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 81.9%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
GER – GRE @ 5.00
+2.6%
Edge
Forecast →