Model verdict
Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 63% probability.
Also rated highly: Germany to win 61%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Germany enters this UEFA Nations League clash as clear favorites, with home advantage likely to boost their attacking rhythm. Despite limited recent form data, the odds suggest a moderately high-scoring game, hinting at Germany's pressing edge and Greece's potential defensive vulnerabilities. Expect Germany to control possession and create chances through quick transitions.
- Home momentum favors Germany's offensive flow
- Greece may struggle against a compact, high-tempo German side
- Moderate goal environment suggests a lively contest
Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 61% | Germany win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 63% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 53% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 82% | 1X |
- 1X2 Germany win 61%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 63%
- BTTS Yes 53%
- Double Chance 1X 82%
Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Germany
W/D/L
3-1-1
Goals (for / against)
13 / 6
Avg goals / match
3.8
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
0/5
Both teams scored
5/5
Over 2.5
4/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
xG (for / against)
2.41 / 0.68
Greece
W/D/L
1-1-3
Goals (for / against)
5 / 9
Avg goals / match
2.8
Scored in
3/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
3/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Scenario insights
①
Germany wins when scoring first
50%
①
Greece wins when scoring first
—
⚽
Germany BTTS rate · last 10
60%
⚽
Greece BTTS rate · last 7
57%
↑
Germany Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
↑
Greece Over 2.5 · last 7
71%
↩
Germany comeback rate · last 10
50%
↩
Greece comeback rate · last 7
0%
Goal timing
Germany · last 3 at home
0–15
6%
16–30
0%
31–45
13%
46–60
13%
61–75
13%
76–90
56%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.