Model verdict
Model leans toward both teams not to score — 54% probability.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Bulgaria hosts Luxembourg in a UEFA Nations League clash where limited recent data suggests a cautious approach. The home side may hold a slight edge with home momentum and familiar conditions, but Luxembourg’s resilience could keep the match tight. Expect a compact battle with both teams likely prioritizing defensive solidity over expansive attacking play.
- Home advantage could spark Bulgaria’s pressing intensity
- Luxembourg’s disciplined defense may limit clear chances
- Low-scoring outcome seems plausible given the cautious setup
Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 46% | Bulgaria win |
| BTTS | 54% | No |
| Double Chance | 73% | 1X |
- 1X2 Bulgaria win 46%
- BTTS No 54%
- Double Chance 1X 73%
Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Bulgaria
W/D/L
1-0-4
Goals (for / against)
3 / 16
Avg goals / match
3.8
Scored in
2/5
Clean sheets
0/5
Both teams scored
2/5
Over 2.5
4/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
0-0-3
xG (for / against)
0.33 / 2.47
Luxembourg
W/D/L
1-0-4
Goals (for / against)
1 / 9
Avg goals / match
2.0
Scored in
1/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
0/5
Over 2.5
1/5
Home (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
1-0-3
Scenario insights
①
Bulgaria wins when scoring first
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①
Luxembourg wins when scoring first
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⚽
Bulgaria BTTS rate · last 6
33%
⚽
Luxembourg BTTS rate · last 7
14%
↑
Bulgaria Over 2.5 · last 6
83%
↑
Luxembourg Over 2.5 · last 7
29%
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Bulgaria comeback rate · last 6
—
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Luxembourg comeback rate · last 7
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