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Home World UEFA Nations League Sweden — Romania

Predictions by Market: Sweden vs Romania

World   /   UEFA Nations League Value pick inside
Sweden
Sweden
Home · last 5 W W L D L
Kick-off
Fri 25 Sep · 18:45
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Romania
Romania
W L W L W Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · SWE
57%
Best 1.54
Draw
22%
Best 4.55
Away Win · ROM
22%
Best 5.85
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.60
Fair odds
2.31
book 2.60 · +12.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
Low
p 43% · EV +12.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (78%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 56.6%
Odds 1.54
Show model details
Implied probability 64.9%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 21.7%
Odds 5.85
Show model details
Implied probability 17.1%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 21.7%
Odds 4.55
Show model details
Implied probability 22%
Bet quality Low
Totals 4 markets
Over 3.5
Probability 37.2%
Odds 2.57
Show model details
Implied probability 38.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 58.1%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 41.9%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5 Best in group
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 54.2%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 45.8%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 43.4%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.5%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 78.3%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
SWE – ROM @ 2.60
+12.8%
Edge
Forecast →