Model verdict
Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 58% probability.
Also rated highly: Sweden to win 57%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
With limited recent form data, this UEFA Nations League clash between Sweden and Romania hints at a balanced contest. The odds suggest a moderately open game with a slight home edge for Sweden, who may leverage their familiarity with conditions. Expect a tactical battle where both sides look to exploit set-piece opportunities and maintain defensive solidity.
- Sweden's home familiarity could provide a subtle advantage.
- Romania likely to rely on compact defensive structure.
- Moderate pace expected, favoring careful buildup over frantic pressing.
Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 57% | Sweden win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 58% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 54% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 78% | 1X |
- 1X2 Sweden win 57%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58%
- BTTS Yes 54%
- Double Chance 1X 78%
Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Sweden
W/D/L
2-1-2
Goals (for / against)
10 / 12
Avg goals / match
4.4
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
0/5
Both teams scored
4/5
Over 2.5
4/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Away (W-D-L)
0-1-2
xG (for / against)
1.00 / 1.97
Romania
W/D/L
3-0-2
Goals (for / against)
11 / 6
Avg goals / match
3.4
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
3/5
Home (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Away (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Scenario insights
①
Sweden wins when scoring first
100%
①
Romania wins when scoring first
—
⚽
Sweden BTTS rate · last 10
70%
⚽
Romania BTTS rate · last 10
60%
↑
Sweden Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↑
Romania Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
↩
Sweden comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Romania comeback rate · last 10
0%
Goal timing
Sweden · last 1 at home
0–15
20%
16–30
20%
31–45
0%
46–60
20%
61–75
0%
76–90
40%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.