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Home › World › Friendlies › Japan — Uruguay

Predictions by Market: Japan vs Uruguay

World   /   Friendlies Value pick inside
Japan
Japan
Home · last 5 W
Kick-off
Thu 24 Sep · 10:05
3:1
Full-time
Uruguay
Uruguay
L Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · JPN
45%
Best 1.92
Draw
27%
Best 3.67
Away Win · URU
28%
Best 4.42
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.90
Fair odds
3.56
book 3.90 · +9.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Low
p 28% · EV +9.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (45%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 44.8%
Odds 2.12
Show model details
Implied probability 47.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 28.1%
Odds 3.90
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 27.2%
Odds 3.42
Show model details
Implied probability 29.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 57.7%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 42.3%
Odds 2.32
Show model details
Implied probability 43.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 67.3%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.1%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 78%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 22%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 11.9%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 52.6%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 47.4%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 55.2%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 71.9%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
JPN – URU @ 3.90
+9.5%
Edge
Forecast →