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Home › World › Friendlies › Japan — Uruguay

Japan vs Uruguay 3:1: Match Review & Stats

World   /   Friendlies Value pick inside
Japan
Japan
Home · last 5 W
Kick-off
Thu 24 Sep · 10:05
3:1
Full-time
Uruguay
Uruguay
L Away · last 5
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 55% · book 1.81 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 58% · book 1.70 ✗
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 42% · book 2.32 ✓
Total goals
4
3 · 1
Possession
50% – 50%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 3.90 — +9.5% better than the market.

This friendly clash between Japan and Uruguay lacks recent form data, making it a tactical guessing game. Japan’s home advantage could offer a slight edge, but Uruguay’s traditionally solid defense suggests a compact, cautious encounter. The odds hint at a moderately paced match with a tendency towards fewer goals, favoring disciplined defensive setups over open attacking play.

  • Home momentum may be limited without recent form.
  • Uruguay’s defensive resilience could stifle Japan’s offense.
  • Expect a balanced tempo with careful build-up.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 3.90 ✗ Lost
AI 28% Implied 26% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

JPN 3 – 1 URU
50%
Possession (%)
50%
3
Total Shots
9
1
Shots on Target
6
1
Shots off Target
2
0
Shots Inside Box
6
0
Corner Kicks
1
0
Offsides
1
7
Fouls
3
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
78%
5
Goalkeeper Saves
0

Match recap

Japan beat Uruguay 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

For accuracy, the hosts completed 86% of their passes. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 9 shots to 3, 6 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -0.45 units (Brier 0.235).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.81 — 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.70 — 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.32 — 42% Cashed +1.32 Cashed
Home Win 2.12 — 45% Cashed +1.12 Cashed
BTTS No 1.80 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.00 — 47% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.40 — 67% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Under 1.5 2.88 — 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.90 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.08 — 88% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.22 — 78% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.33 — 22% Cashed +3.33 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.00 — 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.30 — 72% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Draw 3.42 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each — — — 7 W · 8 L −0.45u −3% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
JPN – URU @ 3.90
+9.5%
Edge
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