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Home › Italy › Serie A › Cremonese — Lecce

Predictions by Market: Cremonese vs Lecce

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Cremonese
Cremonese
Home · last 5 L L W W L
Kick-off
Sun 07 Dec · 11:30
2:0
Full-time
Lecce
Lecce
D W L W W Away · last 5
Stadio Giovanni Zini · Cremona Referee Giuseppe Mucera, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · CRE
48%
Best 2.38
Draw
29%
Best 2.97
Away Win · LEC
23%
Best 3.38
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 2.70
Fair odds
2.40
book 2.70 · +12.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 42% · EV +12.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (58%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 47.9%
Odds 2.56
Show model details
Implied probability 39.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 29.3%
Odds 3.12
Show model details
Implied probability 32.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 22.8%
Odds 3.31
Show model details
Implied probability 30.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 67.9%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 41.6%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 32.1%
Odds 2.61
Show model details
Implied probability 38.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 14.4%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 58.4%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 85.1%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 85.6%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 14.9%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Value pick
Probability 61.8%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality High
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 38.2%
Odds 2.13
Show model details
Implied probability 47%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 47.9%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 55.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 22.8%
Odds 2.27
Show model details
Implied probability 44.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 77.3%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 52.1%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
CRE – LEC @ 2.70
+12.4%
Edge
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