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Home World UEFA Europa League Beşiktaş — Marseille

Predictions Beşiktaş vs Marseille September 17, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Beşiktaş
Beşiktaş
Home · last 5 W W W W L
Kick-off
Thu 17 Sep · 19:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Marseille
Marseille
W W L L L Away · last 5
Referee A. Colombo
Home Win · BES
48%
Best 1.81
Draw
24%
Best 4.15
Away Win · MAR
29%
Best 4.20
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.75
Fair odds
3.48
book 3.75 · +7.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
Medium
p 29% · EV +7.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (48%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 47.6%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 28.8%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 23.6%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 59.2%
Odds 1.64
Show model details
Implied probability 61%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 40.8%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 39.7%
Odds 2.39
Show model details
Implied probability 41.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 60.4%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.6%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6.4%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 81%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 19%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 59.7%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 40.3%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 28.8%
Odds 2.78
Show model details
Implied probability 36%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 47.6%
Odds 1.49
Show model details
Implied probability 67.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 52.4%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
BES – MAR @ 3.75
+7.9%
Edge
Forecast →