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Home World UEFA Europa League Beşiktaş — Marseille

Preview Beşiktaş vs Marseille September 17, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Beşiktaş
Beşiktaş
Home · last 5 W W W W L
Kick-off
Thu 17 Sep · 19:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Marseille
Marseille
W W L L L Away · last 5
Referee A. Colombo
Home Win · BES
48%
Best 1.81
Draw
24%
Best 4.15
Away Win · MAR
29%
Best 4.20

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward both teams to score — 60% probability.

Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 59%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Beşiktaş arrives with strong home momentum, having won four of their last five matches. Their attacking rhythm could challenge Marseille’s defense, though the away side’s quality remains less clear. The market hints at a moderately open game with a decent chance of goals, supported by both teams likely pushing forward.

  • Beşiktaş’s recent form suggests confidence and sharpness at home.
  • Marseille’s unknown form adds an element of unpredictability.
  • The odds favor a lively match with goals on both ends.

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 48% Beşiktaş win
Over/Under 2.5 59% Over 2.5
BTTS 60% Yes
Double Chance 71% 1X
  • 1X2 Beşiktaş win 48%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59%
  • BTTS Yes 60%
  • Double Chance 1X 71%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Beşiktaş
W/D/L 3-0-2
Goals (for / against) 11 / 5
Avg goals / match 3.2
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-2
xG (for / against) 1.78 / 0.50
Marseille
W/D/L 2-0-3
Goals (for / against) 9 / 7
Avg goals / match 3.2
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-0-2
xG (for / against) 2.04 / 1.42

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
2.50
Goals Scored
1.50
0.75
Goals Conceded
1.50
1.48
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
4.50
Shots on Target
5.25
5.75
Corners
5
45.75
Possession (%)
60.75
113.12
Efficiency index
101.66
159.51
Adjusted index
100.70
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
60
OFF · home
100
DEF · home
46
OFF · away
90
DEF · away
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Beşiktaş wins when scoring first
Marseille wins when scoring first
80%
Beşiktaş BTTS rate · last 10
20%
Marseille BTTS rate · last 10
40%
Beşiktaş Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
Marseille Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
Beşiktaş comeback rate · last 10
Marseille comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Beşiktaş · last 4 at home

0–15 25%
16–30 13%
31–45 13%
46–60 0%
61–75 13%
76–90 38%

Marseille · last 10 away

0–15 0%
16–30 40%
31–45 0%
46–60 40%
61–75 0%
76–90 20%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.

Top scorers

O. Kökçü
BES · Midfielder
2 G
Tiago Djaló
BES · Defender
0 G