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Home World UEFA Europa League Real Sociedad — Bournemouth

Predictions Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth September 17, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
Home · last 5 L W D W L
Kick-off
Thu 17 Sep · 19:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
D L D D D Away · last 5
Referee P. Raczkowski
Home Win · RSO
36%
Best 3.02
Draw
26%
Best 3.66
Away Win · BOU
38%
Best 2.35
Value pick
Home Win
@ 2.83
Fair odds
2.78
book 2.83 · +1.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
Low
p 36% · EV +1.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (38%), but Home Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 37.9%
Odds 2.52
Show model details
Implied probability 39.7%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 36%
Odds 2.83
Show model details
Implied probability 35.3%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 26.1%
Odds 3.56
Show model details
Implied probability 28.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 54.7%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 45.3%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 34.4%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 65.6%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.6%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 7.4%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 78%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 22%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 58.7%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 41.3%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0
Probability 36%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 37.9%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 62.1%
Odds 1.56
Show model details
Implied probability 64.1%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 64%
Odds 1.46
Show model details
Implied probability 68.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
RSO – BOU @ 2.83
+1.9%
Edge
Forecast →