Preview Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth September 17, 2026 — Preview and Prediction on Prognosist

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward both teams to score — 59% probability.

Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 55%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

With limited recent form data, this UEFA Europa League clash between Real Sociedad and Bournemouth hints at a balanced contest. The odds suggest a moderately open game with a slight leaning towards goals, supported by the market favoring over 2.5 goals and both teams to score. Real Sociedad’s home advantage could provide a pressing edge, while Bournemouth may look to exploit quick transitions.

Home momentum likely to influence tempo
Potential for both sides to find the net
Moderate goal environment expected

✓ Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market	Prob. %	Pred.
1X2	38%	Bournemouth win
Over/Under 2.5	55%	Over 2.5
BTTS	59%	Yes
Double Chance	64%	X2

1X2 Bournemouth win 38%
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55%
BTTS Yes 59%
Double Chance X2 64%

Open betting analysis

≡ Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions

Real Sociedad

W/D/L 2-1-2

Goals (for / against) 6 / 10

Avg goals / match 3.2

Scored in 3/5

Clean sheets 1/5

Both teams scored 3/5

Over 2.5 4/5

Home (W-D-L) 1-1-1

Away (W-D-L) 1-0-1

xG (for / against) 1.12 / 1.95

Bournemouth

W/D/L 0-4-1

Goals (for / against) 7 / 8

Avg goals / match 3.0

Scored in 5/5

Clean sheets 0/5

Both teams scored 5/5

Over 2.5 3/5

Home (W-D-L) 0-2-0

Away (W-D-L) 0-2-1

xG (for / against) 1.26 / 1.98

⚔ Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match

Goals Scored

1.50

1.83

Goals Conceded

1.75

0.61

Expected Goals (xG)

0.69

Shots on Target

7.67

Corners

4.50

49.83

Possession (%)

47.75

90.74

Efficiency index

100.27

77.37

Adjusted index

94.92

Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

🎯 Scenario insights

①

Real Sociedad wins when scoring first

40%

①

Bournemouth wins when scoring first

38%

⚽

Real Sociedad BTTS rate · last 10

70%

⚽

Bournemouth BTTS rate · last 10

80%

↑

Real Sociedad Over 2.5 · last 10

60%

↑

Bournemouth Over 2.5 · last 10

60%

↩

Real Sociedad comeback rate · last 10

↩

Bournemouth comeback rate · last 10

🔥 Goal timing

Real Sociedad · last 10 at home

0–15 19%

16–30 19%

31–45 0%

46–60 13%

61–75 19%

76–90 31%

Bournemouth · last 10 away

0–15 8%

16–30 17%

31–45 17%

46–60 17%

61–75 25%

76–90 17%

Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.