🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward both teams to score — 60% probability.
Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 55%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
With limited form data for AC Milan but Benfica showing strong recent momentum, this Europa League clash hints at a competitive encounter. Benfica’s solid run suggests they carry confidence into this away fixture, while the home side’s unknown current shape adds intrigue. The odds imply a moderately open game with a slight leaning towards goals, reflecting a balanced tactical battle.
- Benfica’s recent winning streak boosts their attacking threat.
- AC Milan’s home advantage could spur a compact defensive setup.
- Expect a measured tempo with chances for both sides.
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 44% | AC Milan win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 55% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 60% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 70% | 1X |
- 1X2 AC Milan win 44%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55%
- BTTS Yes 60%
- Double Chance 1X 70%
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
AC Milan
W/D/L
2-2-1
Goals (for / against)
8 / 6
Avg goals / match
2.8
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
4/5
Over 2.5
3/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
1-2-0
xG (for / against)
1.64 / 1.67
Benfica
W/D/L
5-0-0
Goals (for / against)
15 / 3
Avg goals / match
3.6
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
2/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
5/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Away (W-D-L)
3-0-0
xG (for / against)
2.03 / 0.36
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
AC Milan wins when scoring first
67%
①
Benfica wins when scoring first
80%
⚽
AC Milan BTTS rate · last 10
60%
⚽
Benfica BTTS rate · last 10
70%
↑
AC Milan Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
↑
Benfica Over 2.5 · last 10
90%
↩
AC Milan comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Benfica comeback rate · last 10
—
🔥 Goal timing
AC Milan · last 10 at home
0–15
10%
16–30
0%
31–45
20%
46–60
20%
61–75
20%
76–90
30%
Benfica · last 10 away
0–15
23%
16–30
15%
31–45
8%
46–60
23%
61–75
19%
76–90
12%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.
