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Home World UEFA Champions League Napoli — Arsenal

Predictions Napoli vs Arsenal September 9, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
Napoli
Napoli
Home · last 5 L
Kick-off
Wed 09 Sep · 19:00
0:1
Full-time
Arsenal
Arsenal
W Away · last 5
Referee G. Nyberg
Home Win · NAP
25%
Best 6.00
Draw
25%
Best 4.00
Away Win · ARS
50%
Best 1.68
Value pick
Double Chance 1X
@ 2.10
Fair odds
1.98
book 2.10 · +6.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
Medium
p 50% · EV +6.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance X2 is more likely (75%), but Double Chance 1X is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 49.5%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 25.3%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 25.2%
Odds 3.77
Show model details
Implied probability 26.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 49.2%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.2%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 8.8%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 74%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 26%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 71.9%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 28.1%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51.2%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 48.9%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0
Probability 25.3%
Odds 3.55
Show model details
Implied probability 28.2%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 49.5%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 50.5%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 74.7%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
NAP – ARS @ 2.10
+6.0%
Edge
Forecast →