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Home › World › UEFA Europa League › Aarhus — Benfica

Predictions by Market: Aarhus vs Benfica

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Aarhus
Aarhus
Home · last 5 L L
Kick-off
Thu 27 Aug · 18:00
1:3
Full-time
Benfica
Benfica
W D W W W Away · last 5
Referee Daniel Siebert, Germany

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · AAR
23%
Best 7.39
Draw
20%
Best 5.57
Away Win · BEN
57%
Best 1.40
Value pick
AH Home 0
@ 4.65
Fair odds
4.40
book 4.65 · +5.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Medium
p 23% · EV +5.7%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win
Probability 22.7%
Odds 6.02
Show model details
Implied probability 16.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 57.4%
Odds 1.49
Show model details
Implied probability 67.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 19.9%
Odds 5.19
Show model details
Implied probability 19.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 59.2%
Odds 1.64
Show model details
Implied probability 61%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 40.8%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 37.5%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 62.5%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 82.8%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 17.2%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 56.9%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 43.2%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 22.7%
Odds 4.65
Show model details
Implied probability 21.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 57.4%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 42.6%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 77.3%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · AH Home 0
AAR – BEN @ 4.65
+5.7%
Edge
Forecast →