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Home › World › UEFA Europa League › Aarhus — Benfica

Aarhus vs Benfica 1:3: Match Review & Stats

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Aarhus
Aarhus
Home · last 5 L L
Kick-off
Thu 27 Aug · 18:00
1:3
Full-time
Benfica
Benfica
W D W W W Away · last 5
Referee Daniel Siebert, Germany
Miss
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 43% · book 2.75 ✗
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 59% · book 1.64 ✗
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 41% · book 2.38 ✓
Total goals
4
1 · 3
Possession
42% – 58%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks AH Home 0 at 4.65 — +5.7% better than the market.

Benfica enters this UEFA Europa League clash with stronger recent form and a clear quality edge, suggesting they hold the upper hand. Aarhus faces a tough challenge at home, struggling for momentum after a recent loss. Benfica's ability to press and exploit defensive gaps could test Aarhus's resilience, especially given the away side's sharper attacking rhythm. The odds hint at a lively encounter with a decent chance of goals, favoring Benfica's attacking threat.

  • Benfica's recent form shows consistent attacking returns.
  • Aarhus needs to tighten defensively to contain pressure.
  • Match tempo likely to favor dynamic, open play.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · AH Home 0
AH Home 0 @ 4.65 ✗ Lost
AI 23% Implied 22% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

AAR 1 – 3 BEN
42%
Possession (%)
58%
3
Shots on Target
8
1
Shots off Target
7
3
Corner Kicks
4
11
Fouls
9
2
Yellow Cards
0

Match recap

Benfica won 3–1 away at Aarhus. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -4.47 units (Brier 0.144).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X 2.75 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.64 — 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.38 — 41% Cashed +1.38 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.55 — 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.67 — 57% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
BTTS No 2.20 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 6.02 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 4.65 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.53 — 63% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.14 — 77% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Away Win 1.49 — 57% Cashed +0.49 Cashed
Draw 5.19 — 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.14 — 83% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.50 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.18 — 57% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each — — — 7 W · 8 L −4.47u −30% ROI
Value pick of the night · AH Home 0
AAR – BEN @ 4.65
+5.7%
Edge
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