AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia 4:0 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 2.39 — +8.3% better than the market.

AEK Athens FC hosts Levski Sofia in a UEFA Champions League clash where recent form favors the visitors, who have shown strong momentum with multiple wins. AEK’s home advantage is tempered by their recent draws, suggesting a cautious approach. The match may lean towards a compact, tactical battle with limited goal-scoring chances, as indicated by the odds favoring under 2.5 goals.

Levski’s attacking edge contrasts with AEK’s defensive resilience.
Home side’s form shows signs of stagnation.
Likely a measured tempo with focus on structure.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 2.39 ✗ Lost

AI 45% Implied 42% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

AEK 4-4-2 · LEV 4-3-3

AEK · 4-4-2 4-3-3 · LEV

9 Jović

35 Serginho 19 Moubarik

Statistics

AEK 4 – 0 LEV

48%

Possession (%)

52%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

89%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

AEK Athens FC beat Levski Sofia 4–0 at home. At half-time it was 3–0.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 11, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.99 units (Brier 0.190).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	2.39	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.72	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.26	—	43%	Cashed	+1.26	Cashed
BTTS No	1.62	—	57%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.16	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	2.80	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.63	—	55%	Cashed	+0.63	Cashed
Away Win	6.37	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.14	—	79%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
Draw	3.91	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.34	—	68%	Cashed	+0.34	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.18	—	77%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.85	—	23%	Cashed	+2.85	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.02	—	88%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Under 0.5	7.80	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.30	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.15	—	55%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.99u	−18% ROI

AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia 4:0: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled