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Home › Italy › Serie A › Lazio — Bologna

Predictions by Market: Lazio vs Bologna

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Lazio
Lazio
Home · last 5 D W L L W
Kick-off
Sun 07 Dec · 17:00
1:1
Full-time
Bologna
Bologna
L D W W D Away · last 5
Referee Michael Fabbri, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LAZ
29%
Best 2.50
Draw
29%
Best 3.05
Away Win · BOL
42%
Best 3.08
Value pick
Over 2.5
@ 2.60
Fair odds
2.28
book 2.60 · +14.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 44% · EV +14.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 2.5 is more likely (56%), but Over 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win
Probability 29.1%
Odds 2.73
Show model details
Implied probability 36.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 41.7%
Odds 3.05
Show model details
Implied probability 32.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 29.2%
Odds 3.15
Show model details
Implied probability 31.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 43.9%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 56.2%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 30.5%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 69.5%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 23.3%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.1%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 76.7%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 9.9%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 48.8%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 51.2%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 41.7%
Odds 2.09
Show model details
Implied probability 47.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 29.1%
Odds 1.89
Show model details
Implied probability 52.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 70.9%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality High
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 58.3%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
LAZ – BOL @ 2.60
+14.0%
Edge
Forecast →