Lazio vs Bologna 1:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 2.60 — +14.0% better than the market.

Lazio hosts Bologna in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge, boasting stronger offensive and defensive metrics. Bologna's recent form shows momentum with several wins, contrasting Lazio's mixed results. However, Lazio's home advantage and pressing style could challenge Bologna's defense, hinting at a tactical battle.

Bologna's attacking threat meets Lazio's solid home defense.
Lazio's home edge may temper Bologna's momentum.
Moderate pace expected, with goal opportunities on both sides.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 2.60 ✗ Lost

AI 44% Implied 38% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

LAZ 4-3-3 · BOL 4-2-3-1

LAZ · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · BOL

10 Zaccagni

Subs used · LAZ

46'

Lazzari ↑ ·

Tavares ↓

46'

Cancellieri ↑ ·

Isaksen ↓

59'

Noslin ↑ ·

Castellanos ↓

75'

Dele-Bashiru ↑ ·

Cataldi ↓

80'

Patric ↑ ·

Basic ↓

Subs used · BOL

39'

De Silvestri ↑ ·

Casale ↓

64'

Bernardeschi ↑ ·

Orsolini ↓

64'

Ferguson ↑ ·

Moro ↓

65'

Rowe ↑ ·

Cambiaghi ↓

84'

Dallinga ↑ ·

Castro ↓

Statistics

LAZ 1 – 1 BOL

47%

Possession (%)

53%

1.27

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.05

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

19 · 1 – 1

Nuno Tavares

Yellow Card

▮

20'

31'

▮

Nikola Moro

Yellow Card

G. Isaksen

1–0

⚽

38'

39'

⇄

L. De Silvestri ↓ · N. Casale ↑

Substitution 1

40'

⚽

J. Odgaard

1–1

Half-time · 1 – 1

M. Lazzari ↓ · N. Tavares ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

M. Cancellieri ↓ · G. Isaksen ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

46'

49'

▮

Nicolò Cambiaghi

Yellow Card

T. Noslin ↓ · T. Castellanos ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

59'

64'

⇄

F. Bernardeschi ↓ · R. Orsolini ↑

Substitution 2

64'

⇄

L. Ferguson ↓ · N. Moro ↑

Substitution 3

65'

⇄

J. Rowe ↓ · N. Cambiaghi ↑

Substitution 4

Manuel Lazzari

Yellow Card

▮

67'

F. Dele-Bashiru ↓ · D. Cataldi ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

75'

Mario Gila Fuentes

Yellow Card

▮

78'

Mario Gila Fuentes

Red Card

▮

78'

Patric ↓ · T. Basic ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

80'

84'

▮

Juan Miranda

Yellow Card

84'

⇄

T. Dallinga ↓ · S. Castro ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Lazio and Bologna drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–1.

From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: G. Isaksen (38'), J. Odgaard (40'). Mario Gila Fuentes was sent off in the 78' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.37 units (Brier 0.147).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	2.60	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.07	—	49%	Cashed	+1.07	Cashed
BTTS No	1.80	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.61	—	56%	Cashed	+0.61	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.09	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	2.80	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.73	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.89	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.53	—	71%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Away Win	3.05	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.52	—	69%	Cashed	+0.52	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.44	—	58%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Over 3.5	5.00	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.15	—	29%	Cashed	+2.15	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.12	—	90%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.19	—	77%	Cashed	+0.19	Cashed
Under 0.5	8.00	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.37u	−20% ROI

Lazio vs Bologna 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled