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Home World UEFA Champions League FK Crvena Zvezda — Larne

Preview FK Crvena Zvezda vs Larne July 29, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

FK Crvena Zvezda
FK Crvena Zvezda
Home · last 5 W
Kick-off
Wed 29 Jul · 18:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Larne
Larne
W W L Away · last 5
Referee E. Masiyev
Home Win · CRV
78%
Best 1.06
Draw
11%
Best 14.20
Away Win · LAR
11%
Best 34.00

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward FK Crvena Zvezda to win — 78% probability.

Also rated highly: both teams not to score 74%, Over 2.5 goals 65%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

FK Crvena Zvezda enters this Champions League qualifier with clear home momentum, having won their last match, while Larne shows mixed form. The odds and market signals suggest a tight contest with a leaning towards a low-scoring game, supported by a strong defensive setup from the hosts and cautious away tactics. Expect a compact block from Crvena Zvezda and a pressing edge that could limit Larne’s attacking chances.

  • Home side’s solid recent win boosts confidence.
  • Defensive discipline likely to keep goals under control.
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play over open attacking.

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 78% FK Crvena Zvezda win
Over/Under 2.5 65% Over 2.5
BTTS 74% No
Double Chance 89% 1X
  • 1X2 FK Crvena Zvezda win 78%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 65%
  • BTTS No 74%
  • Double Chance 1X 89%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
FK Crvena Zvezda
W/D/L 3-1-1
Goals (for / against) 7 / 2
Avg goals / match 1.8
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 3/5
Both teams scored 1/5
Over 2.5 1/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-1-1
Away (W-D-L) 3-0-0
xG (for / against) 1.26 / 0.78
Larne
W/D/L 2-0-1
Goals (for / against) 3 / 5
Avg goals / match 2.7
Scored in 2/3
Clean sheets 1/3
Both teams scored 1/3
Over 2.5 2/3
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-0

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
4
Goals Scored
1
0
Goals Conceded
1.67
1.20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
0
Shots on Target
1.33
0
Corners
1.67
0
Possession (%)
22.67
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
OFF · home
9
DEF · home
18
95
OFF · away
27
100
DEF · away
100
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

FK Crvena Zvezda wins when scoring first
Larne wins when scoring first
FK Crvena Zvezda BTTS rate · last 10
20%
Larne BTTS rate · last 3
33%
FK Crvena Zvezda Over 2.5 · last 10
20%
Larne Over 2.5 · last 3
67%
FK Crvena Zvezda comeback rate · last 10
0%
Larne comeback rate · last 3
0%

🔥 Goal timing

FK Crvena Zvezda · last 4 at home

0–15 13%
16–30 13%
31–45 38%
46–60 13%
61–75 25%
76–90 0%
First-half-heavy — over half the goals before the break.

Top scorers

M. Ridley
LAR
1 G · 1.00 g/90
D. Bent
LAR · Midfielder
1 G · 1.00 g/90