🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward Under 2.5 goals — 59% probability.
Also rated highly: both teams not to score 57%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
This UEFA Europa League clash hints at a cautious encounter, with recent form favoring CSKA Sofia who arrive on a winning note, while Derry City struggles for momentum. The odds suggest a tight, low-scoring game, likely shaped by disciplined defensive setups and a measured pace. CSKA's away resilience could challenge Derry's home edge, but expect a compact battle with limited clear-cut chances.
- CSKA's recent form gives them a slight psychological edge
- Both teams likely to prioritize defensive solidity
- Under 2.5 goals seems a reasonable expectation
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 46% | CSKA Sofia win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 59% | Under 2.5 |
| BTTS | 57% | No |
| Double Chance | 70% | X2 |
- 1X2 CSKA Sofia win 46%
- Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 59%
- BTTS No 57%
- Double Chance X2 70%
≡ Recent form
Last 1 matches · all competitions
Derry City
W/D/L
0-0-1
Goals (for / against)
2 / 3
Avg goals / match
5.0
Scored in
1/1
Clean sheets
0/1
Both teams scored
1/1
Over 2.5
1/1
Home (W-D-L)
0-0-0
Away (W-D-L)
0-0-1
CSKA Sofia
W/D/L
1-0-0
Goals (for / against)
3 / 2
Avg goals / match
5.0
Scored in
1/1
Clean sheets
0/1
Both teams scored
1/1
Over 2.5
1/1
Home (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Away (W-D-L)
0-0-0
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Derry City wins when scoring first
—
①
CSKA Sofia wins when scoring first
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⚽
Derry City BTTS rate · last 1
100%
⚽
CSKA Sofia BTTS rate · last 1
100%
↑
Derry City Over 2.5 · last 1
100%
↑
CSKA Sofia Over 2.5 · last 1
100%
↩
Derry City comeback rate · last 1
0%
↩
CSKA Sofia comeback rate · last 1
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