P
Prognosist
P
Home › World › UEFA Champions League › FC Thun — Dinamo Zagreb

Predictions by Market: FC Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
FC Thun
FC Thun
Home · last 5 D L
Kick-off
Tue 21 Jul · 18:00
1:1
Full-time
Dinamo Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb
W W W D L Away · last 5
Referee B. Sariev

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · THU
30%
Best 3.90
Draw
25%
Best 3.77
Away Win · ZAG
45%
Best 1.91
Value pick
Home Win
@ 3.60
Fair odds
3.30
book 3.60 · +9.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Medium
p 30% · EV +9.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (45%), but Home Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 44.6%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 30.3%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25.1%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 52.1%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 47.9%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 25.9%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 16.4%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 74.2%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 31.1%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 83.6%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 69%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 48.6%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51.4%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 30.3%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 44.6%
Odds 1.49
Show model details
Implied probability 67.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 55.4%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 69.7%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
THU – ZAG @ 3.60
+9.2%
Edge
Forecast →