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Home › World › UEFA Champions League › Saburtalo — Flora Tallinn

Predictions by Market: Saburtalo vs Flora Tallinn

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
Saburtalo
Saburtalo
Home · last 5 W D L D
Kick-off
Tue 14 Jul · 16:00
2:2
Full-time
Flora Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
L D Away · last 5
Referee F. Lata

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · SAB
53%
Best 1.55
Draw
23%
Best 4.45
Away Win · FLO
25%
Best 5.05
Value pick
Away Win
@ 4.64
Fair odds
4.05
book 4.64 · +14.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Medium
p 25% · EV +14.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (53%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 52.6%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 24.7%
Odds 4.64
Show model details
Implied probability 21.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 22.8%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 51%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 49%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 26.5%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 16.4%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 73.5%
Odds 1.51
Show model details
Implied probability 66.2%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 31.1%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 83.6%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 69%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Value pick
Probability 52.6%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 47.4%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 24.7%
Odds 3.55
Show model details
Implied probability 28.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 52.6%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 47.4%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 75.3%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
SAB – FLO @ 4.64
+14.5%
Edge
Forecast →