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Home › Italy › Serie A › Inter — AC Milan

Inter vs AC Milan 0:1: Match Review & Stats

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Inter
Inter
Home · last 5 D W W D D
Kick-off
Sun 23 Nov · 19:45
0:1
Full-time
AC Milan
AC Milan
D L L W L Away · last 5
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza · Milan Referee Simone Sozza, Italy
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 61% · book 1.94 ✗
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 58% · book 2.00 ✗
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 60% · book 1.76 ✗
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
1.60 – 1.00
Δ +0.60
Possession
64% – 36%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 1.76 — +6.1% better than the market.

Serie A Clash at San Siro

Inter arrives with strong home momentum, boasting a flawless recent run and a clear quality edge over AC Milan. Their potent attack faces a slightly vulnerable Milan defense, while the visitors' offense may struggle against Inter's compact block. Expect a high-tempo game with both sides pushing forward, but Inter's home edge and sharper form suggest they control the rhythm.

  • Inter's dominant recent form and home advantage
  • Superior attacking threat against Milan's defense
  • Potential for open play and goal-scoring chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes @ 1.76 ✗ Lost
AI 60% Implied 57% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

INT 3-5-2 · MIL 3-5-2
Subs used · INT
65' Bonny ↑ · Martinez ↓
78' Zielinski ↑ · Calhanoglu ↓
85' Diouf ↑ · Acerbi ↓
85' Esposito ↑ · Barella ↓
Subs used · MIL
78' Ricci ↑ · Fofana ↓
78' Nkunku ↑ · Pulisic ↓
86' Loftus-Cheek ↑ · Leao ↓

Statistics

INT 0 – 1 MIL
64%
Possession (%)
36%
1.60
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.00
20
Total Shots
7
6
Shots on Target
3
8
Shots off Target
4
12
Shots Inside Box
4
9
Corner Kicks
1
2
Offsides
3
7
Fouls
9
90%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
1
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match events

11 · 0 – 1
45+2'
▮
Rafael Leão
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
54'
⚽
C. Pulisic
0–1
Hakan Çalhanoğlu
Yellow Card
▮
61'
A. Bonny ↓ · L. Martinez ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
65'
72'
▮
Strahinja Pavlović
Yellow Card
P. Zielinski ↓ · H. Calhanoglu ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
78'
78'
⇄
S. Ricci ↓ · Y. Fofana ↑
Substitution 1
78'
⇄
C. Nkunku ↓ · C. Pulisic ↑
Substitution 2
A. Diouf ↓ · F. Acerbi ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
85'
F. Esposito ↓ · N. Barella ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
85'
86'
⇄
R. Loftus-Cheek ↓ · R. Leao ↑
Substitution 3
Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

AC Milan won 1–0 away at Inter. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 64% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.60 to 1.00. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 7, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: C. Pulisic (54').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +2.84 units (Brier 0.369).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.94 — 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.00 — 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.76 — 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.15 — 40% Cashed +1.15 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.95 — 42% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.01 — 39% Cashed +1.01 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.35 — 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.29 — 82% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.27 — 83% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.40 — 60% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.43 — 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 — 95% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Draw 3.66 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.00 — 17% Cashed +2.00 Cashed
Away Win 4.35 — 17% Cashed +3.35 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.92 — 18% Cashed +2.92 Cashed
Under 0.5 12.00 — 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +2.84u +17% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
INT – MIL @ 1.76
+6.1%
Edge
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