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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Genoa — Fiorentina

Match Genoa vs Fiorentina November 9, 2025

Italy   /   Serie A
Genoa
Genoa
Home · last 5 L D D L L
Kick-off
Sun 09 Nov · 14:00
2:2
Full-time
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
D L D W D Away · last 5
Stadio Luigi Ferraris · Genoa Referee Marco Guida, Italy
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 38% · book 2.57
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 55% · book 1.79
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 62% · book 1.60
Total goals
4
2 · 2
xG (open play)
1.71 – 1.55
Δ +0.16
Possession
41% – 59%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

This Serie A clash features two sides with similar overall strength but contrasting defensive profiles. Genoa's compact defense faces Fiorentina's sharper attack, suggesting tactical battles around pressing and counterattacks. Recent form favors Genoa slightly at home, offering them a mild momentum edge. The odds hint at a moderately paced game with under 2.5 goals likely, reflecting both teams' cautious approach and defensive solidity.

  • Genoa's home defensive resilience vs Fiorentina's offensive edge
  • Form momentum slightly favors home side
  • Moderate tempo expected with limited goal-scoring chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

GEN 3-5-2 · FIO 3-5-2
Subs used · GEN
67' Ekhator ↑ · Colombo
76' Masini ↑ · Martin
76' Carboni ↑ · Vitinha
Subs used · FIO
66' Viti ↑ · Ranieri
66' Parisi ↑ · Fortini
74' Ndour ↑ · Sohm
75' Dzeko ↑ · Gudmundsson
84' Fazzini ↑ · Piccoli

📊 Statistics

GEN 22 FIO
41%
Possession (%)
59%
1.71
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.55
10
Total Shots
7
6
Shots on Target
3
3
Shots off Target
2
9
Shots Inside Box
5
3
Corner Kicks
7
20
Fouls
15
77%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
2
Yellow Cards
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

17 · 2 – 2
L. Ostigard
Assist · A. Martin · 1–0
15'
20'
A. Gudmundsson (P)
Penalty · 1–1
23'
Marin Pongračić
Yellow Card
42'
Luca Ranieri
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 1
57'
R. Piccoli
Assist · S. Sohm · 1–2
L. Colombo
Assist · L. Ostigard · 2–2
60'
66'
M. Viti ↓ · L. Ranieri ↑
Substitution 1
66'
F. Parisi ↓ · N. Fortini ↑
Substitution 2
Aarón Martín
Yellow Card
67'
J. Ekhator ↓ · L. Colombo ↑
Substitution 1
67'
74'
C. Ndour ↓ · S. Sohm ↑
Substitution 3
75'
E. Dzeko ↓ · A. Gudmundsson ↑
Substitution 4
P. Masini ↓ · A. Martin ↑
Substitution 2
76'
V. Carboni ↓ · Vitinha ↑
Substitution 3
76'
Mikael Ellertsson
Yellow Card
84'
84'
J. Fazzini ↓ · R. Piccoli ↑
Substitution 5
89'
Dodô
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 2.57 38% Cashed +1.57 Cashed
BTTS No 1.79 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.60 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 2.70 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.09 45% Cashed +1.09 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.97 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.97 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.47 65% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.47 64% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
Away Win 2.89 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.90 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.52 65% Cashed +0.52 Cashed
Draw 3.10 29% Cashed +2.10 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.12 88% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.20 81% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 5.00 19% Cashed +4.00 Cashed
Under 0.5 7.50 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +1.34u +8% ROI