Match Atalanta vs Sassuolo November 9, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Atalanta holds a clear quality edge over Sassuolo, boosted by a solid home momentum despite a mixed recent form. Their attacking threat faces a less robust Sassuolo defense, suggesting chances to break through. Sassuolo’s slightly better recent form hints at resilience, but Atalanta’s home compactness and pressing edge should tilt the balance.

Home advantage with a defensive solidity edge
Atalanta’s attack likely to challenge Sassuolo’s defense
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

ATA 3-4-2-1 · SAS 4-3-3

ATA · 3-4-2-1 4-3-3 · SAS

90 Krstović

Subs used · ATA

46'

Djimsiti ↑ ·

Kossounou ↓

46'

De Ketelaere ↑ ·

Ederson ↓

58'

Scamacca ↑ ·

Krstovic ↓

78'

Sulemana ↑ ·

Lookman ↓

84'

Zalewski ↑ ·

Zappacosta ↓

Subs used · SAS

60'

Lauriente ↑ ·

Fadera ↓

81'

Doig ↑ ·

Cande ↓

90'

Iannoni ↑ ·

Kone ↓

90'

Cheddira ↑ ·

Berardi ↓

90+1'

Pierini ↑ ·

Pinamonti ↓

📊 Statistics

ATA 0 – 3 SAS

67%

Possession (%)

33%

0.91

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.81

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

89%

Pass Accuracy (%)

77%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

15 · 0 – 3

29'

⚽

D. Berardi (P)

Penalty · 0–1

36'

▮

Arijanet Murić

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 1

B. Djimsiti ↓ · O. Kossounou ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

C. De Ketelaere ↓ · Ederson ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

46'

47'

⚽

A. Pinamonti

Assist · D. Berardi · 0–2

G. Scamacca ↓ · N. Krstovic ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

58'

60'

⇄

A. Lauriente ↓ · A. Fadera ↑

Substitution 1

66'

⚽

D. Berardi

Assist · K. Thorstvedt · 0–3

K. Sulemana ↓ · A. Lookman ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

78'

79'

▮

Fali Candé

Yellow Card

81'

⇄

J. Doig ↓ · F. Cande ↑

Substitution 2

N. Zalewski ↓ · D. Zappacosta ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

84'

90'

⇄

E. Iannoni ↓ · I. Kone ↑

Substitution 3

90'

⇄

W. Cheddira ↓ · D. Berardi ↑

Substitution 4

90+1'

⇄

N. Pierini ↓ · A. Pinamonti ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 0 – 3

Match recap

Sassuolo won 3–0 away at Atalanta. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 67% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 89% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.81 to 0.91. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 8, 2 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 4 to 1.

On the scoresheet: D. Berardi (29'), A. Pinamonti (47'), D. Berardi (66').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +5.64 units (Brier 0.302).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.27	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.95	—	51%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.91	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.74	—	53%	Cashed	+0.74	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.75	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.51	—	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.60	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.50	—	69%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.14	—	90%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.94	—	31%	Cashed	+1.94	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.19	—	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	15.50	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.87	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	93%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.23	—	77%	Cashed	+0.23	Cashed
Away Win	7.02	—	10%	Cashed	+6.02	Cashed
AH Away 0	5.22	—	10%	Cashed	+4.22	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+5.64u	+33% ROI