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Home › Italy › Serie A › Fiorentina — Lecce

Predictions by Market: Fiorentina vs Lecce

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Home · last 5 D L D W D
Kick-off
Sun 02 Nov · 14:00
0:1
Full-time
Lecce
Lecce
D W L W W Away · last 5
Referee Antonio Rapuano, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · FIO
64%
Best 1.69
Draw
23%
Best 3.60
Away Win · LEC
13%
Best 5.86
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.20
Fair odds
2.79
book 3.20 · +14.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 36% · EV +14.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (64%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 63.5%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 23.4%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 13.2%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 61.8%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 38.2%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 35.9%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 64.2%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 12.2%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 81.2%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 87.8%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 18.8%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Value pick
Probability 61.9%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 38.1%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 45.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 63.5%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 13.2%
Odds 4.25
Show model details
Implied probability 23.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 36.6%
Odds 2.32
Show model details
Implied probability 43.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 86.8%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
FIO – LEC @ 3.20
+14.7%
Edge
Forecast →