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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Fiorentina — Lecce

Match Fiorentina vs Lecce November 2, 2025

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Home · last 5 D L D W D
Kick-off
Sun 02 Nov · 14:00
0:1
Full-time
Lecce
Lecce
D W L W W Away · last 5
Referee Antonio Rapuano, Italy
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 62% · book 1.80
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 63% · book 1.69
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 62% · book 1.73
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
1.43 – 1.16
Δ +0.27
Possession
63% – 37%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.80 — +11.2% better than the market.

Serie A Preview: Fiorentina vs Lecce

Fiorentina holds a quality edge and a moderate home advantage, but recent form suggests struggles, with only one point from five. Lecce’s defensive solidity could frustrate the hosts, as their compact backline limits Fiorentina’s attacking threat. Expect a cautious tempo with a low goal count, given the strong defensive setups and recent scoring trends.

  • Fiorentina’s home edge is tempered by poor recent form
  • Lecce’s disciplined defense likely to stifle chances
  • Match leans toward a tight, low-scoring affair

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.80 ✓ Cashed
AI 62% Implied 56% +0.80u
+80%
ROI on stake

Lineups

FIO 3-5-2 · LEC 4-2-3-1
Subs used · FIO
46' Sohm ↑ · Ndour
46' Gudmundsson ↑ · Fagioli
59' Piccoli ↑ · Dzeko
77' Fazzini ↑ · Comuzzo
Subs used · LEC
73' Pierotti ↑ · Banda
76' Maleh ↑ · Berisha
89' Camarda ↑ · Stulic
89' Kaba ↑ · Morente

📊 Statistics

FIO 01 LEC
63%
Possession (%)
37%
1.43
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.16
15
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
7
Shots off Target
5
11
Shots Inside Box
5
4
Corner Kicks
4
3
Offsides
0
14
Fouls
21
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
68%
4
Yellow Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

15 · 0 – 1
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
Yellow Card
14'
Nicolò Fagioli
Yellow Card
15'
23'
M. Berisha
Assist · Tete Morente · 0–1
41'
Danilo Veiga
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 1
S. Sohm ↓ · C. Ndour ↑
Substitution 1
46'
R. Mandragora ↓ · H. Nicolussi Caviglia ↑
Substitution 2
46'
A. Gudmundsson ↓ · N. Fagioli ↑
Substitution 3
46'
R. Piccoli ↓ · E. Dzeko ↑
Substitution 4
59'
Moise Kean
Yellow Card
66'
73'
S. Pierotti ↓ · L. Banda ↑
Substitution 1
76'
Y. Maleh ↓ · M. Berisha ↑
Substitution 2
J. Fazzini ↓ · P. Comuzzo ↑
Substitution 5
77'
Luca Ranieri
Yellow Card
87'
89'
F. Camarda ↓ · N. Stulic ↑
Substitution 3
89'
M. Kaba ↓ · Tete Morente ↑
Substitution 4
Full-time · 0 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.80 62% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Home Win 1.69 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.73 62% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.22 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.32 37% Cashed +1.32 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.18 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.20 36% Cashed +2.20 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.17 87% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.40 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.25 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 9.00 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.28 81% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.09 88% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Draw 4.00 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 6.00 13% Cashed +5.00 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.10 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 4.25 13% Cashed +3.25 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +4.67u +27% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 2.5
FIO – LEC @ 1.80
+11.2%
Edge
Forecast →